The Influence of Experimental Data Quality and Quantity on Parameter Estimation Accuracy

Model parameters are usually estimated through minimization algorithms with respect to experimental data. However, students should realize that the values obtained in the classical minimization approach are not always correct and need critical evaluation though the minimum of the cost function is attained. For this purpose, a typical example of a substrate inhibition model in activated sludge processes (Andrews' model) was used. Once the parameters were estimated, the confidence intervals were assessed through a numerical method based on the Fisher Information Matrix. Both procedures were implemented in MATLAB ® (software available on request). With this exercise, the student can easily observe how the reliability of the estimated parameter value increases with the increase of data quantity and with the decrease of the data measurement error.

[1]  John A. Nelder,et al.  A Simplex Method for Function Minimization , 1965, Comput. J..

[2]  Denis Dochain,et al.  Modeling aerobic carbon source degradation processes using titrimetric data and combined respirometric–titrimetric data: Structural and practical identifiability , 2002, Biotechnology and bioengineering.

[3]  R. Loehr,et al.  Inhibition of nitrification by ammonia and nitrous acid. , 1976, Journal - Water Pollution Control Federation.

[4]  R. Chamy,et al.  Kinetic models for nitrification inhibition by ammonium and nitrite in a suspended and an immobilised biomass systems , 2004 .

[5]  O. Levenspiel,et al.  Extended monod kinetics for substrate, product, and cell inhibition , 1988, Biotechnology and bioengineering.

[6]  J H Luong,et al.  Generalization of monod kinetics for analysis of growth data with substrate inhibition , 1987, Biotechnology and bioengineering.

[7]  John F. Andrews,et al.  A mathematical model for the continuous culture of microorganisms utilizing inhibitory substrates , 1968 .

[8]  Peter A. Vanrolleghem,et al.  Respirometry in Control of the Activated Sludge Process: Principles , 1998 .

[9]  Raman K. Mehra,et al.  Optimal input signals for parameter estimation in dynamic systems--Survey and new results , 1974 .

[10]  P. Reichert,et al.  A comparison of techniques for the estimation of model prediction uncertainty , 1999 .

[11]  S. Marsili-Libelli,et al.  Confidence regions of estimated parameters for ecological systems , 2003 .

[12]  P A Vanrolleghem,et al.  Practical identifiability of model parameters by combined respirometric-titrimetric measurements. , 2001, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[13]  M. B. Beck,et al.  Water quality modeling: A review of the analysis of uncertainty , 1987 .

[14]  Peter A. Vanrolleghem,et al.  Practical Identifiability of a Biokinetic Model of Activated-sludge Respiration , 1995 .

[15]  O. Tünay,et al.  A New Approach to Modelling Substrate Inhibition , 2002, Environmental technology.

[16]  Peter Reichert,et al.  Practical identifiability of ASM2d parameters--systematic selection and tuning of parameter subsets. , 2002, Water research.

[17]  Krist V. Gernaey,et al.  Evaluation of an ASM1 model calibration procedure on a municipal-industrial wastewater treatment plant , 2002 .