Multi-entity Bayesian network for the handling of uncertainties in SATCOM links

Accurate prediction of satellite communications (SATCOM) data link loss is critical for SATCOM systems to effectively achieve required Quality of Service (QoS) and link availability. A major challenge is to account for various sources of uncertainties (such as atmospheric loss, rain loss, depolarization loss, pointing offset loss, etc.,) and their impacts on the aggregated link loss. This paper investigates the use of Bayesian Network (BN) for acquiring accurate SATCOM link loss estimation and link budget analysis over various modulation and coding schemes. Based on the proposed BN models, a SATCOM Bayesian Network Analysis toolbox has been developed to support link budget analysis and decision making for robust SATCOM applications.

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