Spatial Analytical Techniques for Risk Based Decision Support Systems

Interactions of biological entities within the environment occur on spatial and temporal scales. Likewise, the spatial and temporal distributions of contamination within the environment affect the degree to which plants, animals, and humans are exposed and how they respond. These interactions can be complex, however, through the recent advances in geographical information systems (GIS) and other models that integrate spatial considerations, estimates of risk can be more accurately described. Moreover, presentation of contaminated sites on spatial scales allow for a clearer understanding of the problem. This chapter will explore the recent advances in these models that integrate spatial attributes of contamination; from the latest in GIS techniques describing the nature and extent of contamination, to improved population-based exposure models to predict risk, to models that then integrate risk from contamination exposure relative to other stressors in a multi-stressor analysis. Examples of these advances will be described, including considerations from a decision-making perspective.

[1]  Michael H. Ramsey,et al.  Estimation of measurement uncertainty from field sampling: implications for the classification of contaminated land , 1997 .

[2]  Lawrence A. Kapustka,et al.  Application of Habitat Suitability Index Values to Modify Exposure Estimates in Characterizing Ecological Risk , 2004 .

[3]  Eleonora Wcisło,et al.  A Human Health Risk Assessment Software for Facilitating Management of Urban Contaminated Sites: A Case Study: The Massa Site, Tuscany, Italy , 2005 .

[4]  Igor Linkov,et al.  Risk based management of contaminated sediments: consideration of spatial and temporal patterns in exposure modeling. , 2002, Environmental science & technology.

[5]  Bk Hope Approaches to Spatially-Explicit, Multi-Stressor Ecological Exposure Estimation , 2004 .

[6]  Charles A. Menzie,et al.  Incorporating Spatial Data into Ecological Risk Assessments: The Spatially Explicit Exposure Module (SEEM) for ARAMS , 2004 .

[7]  Bruce K. Hope,et al.  Performing Spatially and Temporally Explicit Ecological Exposure Assessments Involving Multiple Stressors , 2005 .

[8]  B. Hope,et al.  A spatially and bioenergetically explicit terrestrial ecological exposure model , 2001, Toxicology and industrial health.

[9]  David E. Burmaster,et al.  Estimating exposure point concentrations for surface soils for use in deterministic and probabilistic risk assessments , 1997 .

[10]  R. O. Gilbert Statistical Methods for Environmental Pollution Monitoring , 1987 .

[11]  Igor Linkov,et al.  The use of spatial modeling in an aquatic food web to estimate exposure and risk. , 2002, The Science of the total environment.

[12]  Mark S. Dortch,et al.  Demonstration Applications of ARAMS for Aquatic and Terrestrial Ecological Risk Assessment , 2006 .

[13]  A C Cullen,et al.  The sensitivity of probabilistic risk assessment results to alternative model structures: a case study of municipal waste incineration. , 1995, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[14]  B K Hope Generating probabilistic spatially-explicit individual and population exposure estimates for ecological risk assessments. , 2000, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[15]  B K Hope A case study comparing static and spatially explicit ecological exposure analysis methods. , 2001, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[16]  F. Gobas,et al.  Time Response of the Lake Ontario Ecosystem to Virtual Elimination of PCBs. , 1995, Environmental science & technology.

[17]  Michael H. Ramsey,et al.  Sampling as a source of measurement uncertainty: techniques for quantification and comparison with analytical sources , 1998 .

[18]  Lawrence A. Kapustka,et al.  Landscape ecology and wildlife habitat evaluation : critical information for ecological risk assessment, land-use management activities, and biodiversity enhancement , 2004 .

[19]  Charles A. Menzie,et al.  Two wildlife exposure models to assess impacts at the individual and population levels and the efficacy of remedial actions , 1996 .

[20]  David F. Ludwig,et al.  An approach to quantifying spatial components of exposure for ecological risk assessment , 1995 .

[21]  Elizabeth J. Kelly,et al.  Separating Variability and Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment—Making Choices , 2000 .

[22]  Robert P DeMott,et al.  The Future Direction of Ecological Risk Assessment in the United States: Reflecting on the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's ”Examination of Risk Assessment Practices and Principles” , 2005, Integrated environmental assessment and management.

[23]  Wolfgang Kinzelbach,et al.  3D-Groundwater Modeling with PMWIN , 2003 .

[24]  Max Henrion,et al.  Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , 1990 .

[25]  J. A. Gerald,et al.  Recent Advances In The Army Risk AssessmentModeling System , 2004 .

[26]  Charles A Menzie,et al.  Are songbirds at risk from lead at small arms ranges? An application of the spatially explicit exposure model , 2007, Environmental toxicology and chemistry.

[27]  D. Maidment,et al.  Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling Support with Geographic Information Systems , 2000 .

[28]  Igor Linkov,et al.  Importance of Uncertainty and Variability to Predicted Risks from Trophic Transfer of PCBs in Dredged Sediments , 2002, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[29]  Peter B Woodbury,et al.  Dos and don'ts of spatially explicit ecological risk assessments , 2003, Environmental toxicology and chemistry.

[30]  M. Ramsey Sampling and analytical quality Control (SAX) for improved error estimation in the measurement of Pb in the environment using robust analysis of variance , 1993 .

[31]  John D. Graham,et al.  Going beyond the single number: Using probabilistic risk assessment to improve risk management , 1996 .

[32]  Frank A. P. C. Gobas,et al.  A model for predicting the bioaccumulation of hydrophobic organic chemicals in aquatic food-webs: application to Lake Ontario , 1993 .