Impacts of the ENSO Lifecycle on Stratospheric Ozone and Temperature

This study examines the variations of stratospheric temperature and ozone associated with the lifecycle of El Nino‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Significant stratospheric temperature and ozone anomalies are found not only during El Nino and La Nina, but also during the transition phases in between, and anomalies during the cold‐to‐warm transition generally mirror those during the warm‐to‐cold transition. Zonal mean temperature anomalies propagate slowly upward over northern midlatitudes but downward over the Arctic. The strongest ozone anomalies over Antarctica occur one year after El Nino and La Nina, which show a dipole structure between the upper stratosphere and the lower stratosphere. The ozone anomalies are associated with anomalous Brewer‐Dobson circulation and anomalous Eliassen‐Palm flux divergence.

[1]  L. Oman,et al.  The Impact of Boreal Summer ENSO Events on Tropical Lower Stratospheric Ozone , 2018, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.

[2]  Sang-Wook Yeh,et al.  ENSO Atmospheric Teleconnections and Their Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing , 2018 .

[3]  L. Oman,et al.  Nonlinear response of tropical lower stratospheric temperature and water vapor to ENSO. , 2017, Atmospheric chemistry and physics.

[4]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[5]  R. Ren,et al.  Varying stratospheric responses to tropical Atlantic SST forcing from early to late winter , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[6]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, Version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, Validations, and Intercomparisons , 2017 .

[7]  J. Burrows,et al.  Total ozone trends from 1979 to 2016 derived from five merged observational datasets - the emergence into ozone recovery , 2017 .

[8]  A. Thompson,et al.  First reprocessing of Southern Hemisphere ADditional OZonesondes (SHADOZ) profile records (1998–2015): 1. Methodology and evaluation , 2017 .

[9]  Guoxiong Wu,et al.  Tracking the delayed response of the northern winter stratosphere to ENSO using multi reanalyses and model simulations , 2017, Climate Dynamics.

[10]  D. S. Wilks,et al.  “The Stippling Shows Statistically Significant Grid Points”: How Research Results are Routinely Overstated and Overinterpreted, and What to Do about It , 2016 .

[11]  V. Aquila,et al.  The Impact of Ozone-Depleting Substances on Tropical Upwelling, as Revealed by the Absence of Lower-Stratospheric Cooling since the Late 1990s , 2016 .

[12]  W. Read,et al.  The Stratospheric Water and Ozone Satellite Homogenized (SWOOSH) database: a long-term database for climate studies. , 2016, Earth system science data.

[13]  E. Guilyardi,et al.  Fourth clivar workshop on the evaluation of ENSO processes in climate models: ENSO in a changing climate , 2016 .

[14]  Tianjun Zhou,et al.  Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits , 2016 .

[15]  A. Mercer,et al.  Predictability of US tornado outbreak seasons using ENSO and northern hemisphere geopotential height variability , 2016 .

[16]  R. Ren,et al.  A decomposition of ENSO’s impacts on the northern winter stratosphere: competing effect of SST forcing in the tropical Indian Ocean , 2016, Climate Dynamics.

[17]  N. Keenlyside,et al.  Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model , 2016, Climate Dynamics.

[18]  S. Solomon,et al.  Observational evidence of strengthening of the Brewer‐Dobson circulation since 1980 , 2015 .

[19]  Bernard Legras,et al.  of Geophysical Research : Atmospheres Evaluating the advective Brewer-Dobson circulation in three reanalyses for the period 1979 – 2012 , 2015 .

[20]  M. Sigmond,et al.  The predictability of the extratropical stratosphere on monthly time‐scales and its impact on the skill of tropospheric forecasts , 2015 .

[21]  W. Randel,et al.  Variability of Zonal Mean Tropical Temperatures Derived from a Decade of GPS Radio Occultation Data , 2015 .

[22]  C. Kobayashi,et al.  The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General Specifications and Basic Characteristics , 2015 .

[23]  R. Knutti,et al.  Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled , 2014 .

[24]  N. Butchart The Brewer‐Dobson circulation , 2014 .

[25]  Gavin A. Schmidt,et al.  Reconciling warming trends , 2014 .

[26]  L. Oman,et al.  Contrasting Effects of Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific El Niño on stratospheric water vapor , 2013 .

[27]  P. Newman,et al.  What Controls the Temperature of the Arctic Stratosphere During the Spring , 2013 .

[28]  R. A. Plumb Planetary Waves and the Extratropical Winter Stratosphere , 2013 .

[29]  L. Oman,et al.  The ozone response to ENSO in Aura satellite measurements and a chemistry‐climate simulation , 2013 .

[30]  Ying-Hwa Kuo,et al.  The vertical and spatial structure of ENSO in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere from GPS radio occultation measurements , 2012 .

[31]  L. Polvani,et al.  The signature of ozone depletion on tropical temperature trends, as revealed by their seasonal cycle in model integrations with single forcings , 2012 .

[32]  Adam A. Scaife,et al.  Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system , 2012 .

[33]  J. Burrows,et al.  The Brewer-Dobson circulation and total ozone from seasonal to decadal time scales , 2011 .

[34]  Steve Horstmeyer,et al.  El Niño, La Niña, and the Southern Oscillation , 2011 .

[35]  Francisco P. Chavez,et al.  Global Modes of Sea Surface Temperature Variability in Relation to Regional Climate Indices , 2011 .

[36]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[37]  D. Waugh,et al.  A Climatology of Rossby Wave Breaking on the Southern Hemisphere Tropopause , 2011 .

[38]  C. Fletcher The Role of Linear Interference in the Annular Mode Response to Tropical SST Forcing , 2010 .

[39]  G. Vallis,et al.  A robust increase in the eddy length scale in the simulation of future climates , 2010 .

[40]  Clara Deser,et al.  Sea surface temperature variability: patterns and mechanisms. , 2010, Annual review of marine science.

[41]  D. Marsh,et al.  ENSO influence on zonal mean temperature and ozone in the tropical lower stratosphere , 2009 .

[42]  Jialin Lin Ocean-atmosphere interaction in the lifecycle of ENSO: The coupled wave oscillator , 2009 .

[43]  Andrew Charlton-Perez,et al.  Stratospheric Communication of El Niño Teleconnections to European Winter , 2009 .

[44]  K. Trenberth,et al.  Variations in the Three-Dimensional Structure of the Atmospheric Circulation with Different Flavors of El Niño , 2009 .

[45]  Adam A. Scaife,et al.  The role of the stratosphere in the European climate response to El Niño , 2009 .

[46]  N. Harnik Observed stratospheric downward reflection and its relation to upward pulses of wave activity , 2009 .

[47]  Elisa Manzini,et al.  Impact of the Stratosphere on the Winter Tropospheric Teleconnections between ENSO and the North Atlantic and European Region , 2009 .

[48]  I. Held,et al.  Phase speed spectra and the recent poleward shift of Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies , 2007 .

[49]  B. Hoskins,et al.  On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps , 2007 .

[50]  Jialin Lin,et al.  Interdecadal variability of ENSO in 21 IPCC AR4 coupled GCMs , 2007 .

[51]  L. Polvani,et al.  The effect of lower stratospheric shear on baroclinic instability , 2007 .

[52]  L. Polvani,et al.  A New Look at Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Part I: Climatology and Modeling Benchmarks , 2007 .

[53]  K. Trenberth,et al.  The Vertical Structure of Temperature in the Tropics: Different Flavors of El Niño , 2006 .

[54]  W. Higgins,et al.  Climatology and ENSO-Related Variability of North American Extratropical Cyclone Activity , 2006 .

[55]  Rolando R. Garcia,et al.  Propagation of ENSO temperature signals into the middle atmosphere: A comparison of two general circulation models and ERA‐40 reanalysis data , 2006 .

[56]  D. Hartmann,et al.  Increased Occurrence of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings during El Niño as Simulated by WACCM , 2006 .

[57]  D. Thompson,et al.  On the distribution and variability of ozone in the tropical upper troposphere: Implications for tropical deep convection and chemical‐dynamical coupling , 2005 .

[58]  D. E. Harrison,et al.  On the definition of El Niño and associated seasonal average U.S. weather anomalies , 2005 .

[59]  E. Roeckner,et al.  The influence of sea surface temperatures on the northern winter stratosphere : Ensemble simulations with the MAECHAM5 model , 2006 .

[60]  Rolando R. Garcia,et al.  Analysis of the ENSO Signal in Tropospheric and Stratospheric Temperatures Observed by MSU, 1979–2000 , 2004 .

[61]  Darryn W. Waugh,et al.  Upward Wave Activity Flux as a Precursor to Extreme Stratospheric Events and Subsequent Anomalous Surface Weather Regimes , 2004 .

[62]  Yucheng Song,et al.  Dynamical Mechanisms for Stratospheric Influences on the Troposphere. , 2004 .

[63]  David B Stephenson,et al.  Stratospheric Memory and Skill of Extended-Range Weather Forecasts , 2003, Science.

[64]  John R. Christy,et al.  Error Estimates of Version 5.0 of MSU–AMSU Bulk Atmospheric Temperatures , 2003 .

[65]  R. Stolarski,et al.  Changes in Column Ozone Correlated with the Stratospheric EP Flux , 2002 .

[66]  B. Hoskins,et al.  The NAO Troposphere-Stratosphere Connection. , 2002 .

[67]  D. E. Harrison,et al.  ENSO Warm (El Niño) and Cold (La Niña) Event Life Cycles: Ocean Surface Anomaly Patterns, Their Symmetries, Asymmetries, and Implications. , 2002 .

[68]  R. X. Black Stratospheric Forcing of Surface Climate in the Arctic Oscillation , 2002 .

[69]  Mark P. Baldwin,et al.  Stratospheric Harbingers of Anomalous Weather Regimes , 2001, Science.

[70]  J. Wallace,et al.  Regional Climate Impacts of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode , 2001, Science.

[71]  Kevin Hamilton,et al.  The quasi‐biennial oscillation , 2001 .

[72]  C. Landsea El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the Seasonal Predictability of Tropical Cyclones , 2000 .

[73]  Fei Wu,et al.  Interannual variability of the tropical tropopause derived from radiosonde data and NCEP reanalyses , 2000 .

[74]  Stanley C. Solomon,et al.  Stratospheric ozone depletion: A review of concepts and history , 1999 .

[75]  A. Fusco,et al.  Interannual variations of total ozone and their relationship to variations of planetary wave activity , 1999 .

[76]  Balaji Rajagopalan,et al.  Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991 , 1998 .

[77]  J. Wallace,et al.  On the structure and evolution of ENSO‐related climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Lessons from TOGA , 1998 .

[78]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures , 1998 .

[79]  C. Davis,et al.  A new perspective on the dynamical link between the stratosphere and troposphere , 1998, Nature.

[80]  J. David Neelin,et al.  ENSO theory , 1998 .

[81]  P. Newman,et al.  Stratospheric thermal damping times , 1997 .

[82]  A. Oort,et al.  Observed Interannual Variability in the Hadley Circulation and Its Connection to ENSO , 1996 .

[83]  J. Holton,et al.  Stratosphere‐troposphere exchange , 1995 .

[84]  Y. Gorbanev,et al.  Structure and Evolution , 2019 .

[85]  John M. Wallace,et al.  The Signature of ENSO in Global Temperature and Precipitation Fields Derived from the Microwave Sounding Unit , 1994 .

[86]  William J. Randel,et al.  Coherent variations of monthly mean total ozone and lower stratospheric temperature , 1994 .

[87]  J. Gille,et al.  Stratospheric transport from the tropics to middle latitudes by planetary-wave mixing , 1993, Nature.

[88]  Chester F. Ropelewski,et al.  Surface Temperature Patterns Associated with the Southern Oscillation , 1992 .

[89]  R. Garcia Parameterization of Planetary Wave Breaking in the Middle Atmosphere , 1991 .

[90]  David J. Karoly,et al.  Southern Hemisphere Circulation Features Associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation Events , 1989 .

[91]  J. Holton,et al.  Climatology of the stratospheric polar vortex and planetary wave breaking , 1988 .

[92]  C. Ropelewski,et al.  Global and Regional Scale Precipitation Patterns Associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation , 1987 .

[93]  J. Farman,et al.  Large losses of total ozone in Antarctica reveal seasonal ClOx/NOx interaction , 1985, Nature.

[94]  Tim Palmer,et al.  The «surf zone» in the stratosphere , 1984 .

[95]  T. Palmer,et al.  Breaking planetary waves in the stratosphere , 1983, Nature.

[96]  R. E. Livezey,et al.  Statistical Field Significance and its Determination by Monte Carlo Techniques , 1983 .

[97]  E. Rasmusson,et al.  Variations in Tropical Sea Surface Temperature and Surface Wind Fields Associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño , 1982 .

[98]  John M. Wallace,et al.  Planetary-Scale Atmospheric Phenomena Associated with the Southern Oscillation , 1981 .

[99]  B. Hoskins,et al.  Eliassen-Palm Cross Sections for the Troposphere , 1980 .

[100]  M. Murakami Large-Scale Aspects of Deep Convective Activity over the GATE Area , 1979 .

[101]  M. Molina,et al.  Stratospheric sink for chlorofluoromethanes: chlorine atomc-atalysed destruction of ozone , 1974, Nature.

[102]  K. Labitzke Temperature Changes in the Mesosphere and Stratosphere Connected with Circulation Changes in Winter , 1972 .

[103]  T. Matsuno Vertical Propagation of Stationary Planetary Waves in the Winter Northern Hemisphere , 1970 .

[104]  P. Crutzen The influence of nitrogen oxides on the atmospheric ozone content , 1970 .

[105]  J. Bjerknes ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS FROM THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC1 , 1969 .

[106]  J. G. Charney,et al.  Propagation of planetary‐scale disturbances from the lower into the upper atmosphere , 1961 .

[107]  G. Dobson Origin and distribution of the polyatomic molecules in the atmosphere , 1956, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences.

[108]  A. W. Brewer Evidence for a world circulation provided by the measurements of helium and water vapour distribution in the stratosphere , 1949 .

[109]  S. Chapman XXXV.On ozone and atomic oxygen in the upper atmosphere , 1930 .