13 Ornithological statistics

Abstract A personalised view of ornithological statistics is presented and the subject area is reviewed and put into historical context. The review is not exhaustive, but covers as much material as is possible in just one chapter. A section on bird counts is followed by one on bird movements, within which a recent project involving bird observatories data is described in some detail. Finally there is coverage of analysis for ring recovery data, capture-recapture data, and radio-tracking information. The historical development of this last area is charted carefully, since such great advances have been made since the 1960s and 1970s, and because it has been by far the most actively developing area of ornithological statistics.

[1]  I. Newton,et al.  ESTIMATING AGE-SPECIFIC BIRD SURVIVAL RATES FROM RING RECOVERIES-CAN IT BE DONE? , 1983 .

[2]  Jolly Gm Mark-recapture models with parameters constant in time. , 1982 .

[3]  Kenneth H. Pollock,et al.  The relationship between body mass and survival of wintering canvasbacks , 1986 .

[4]  Kenneth H. Pollock,et al.  A K-sample tag-recapture model allowing for unequal survival and catchability , 1975 .

[5]  Gary C. White,et al.  Numerical estimation of survival rates from band-recovery and biotelemetry data , 1983 .

[6]  Byron J. T. Morgan,et al.  Modelling Heron Survival Using Weather Data , 1979 .

[7]  P. M. North An analysis of Razorbill movements away from the breeding colony , 1980 .

[8]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Modeling Survival and Testing Biological Hypotheses Using Marked Animals: A Unified Approach with Case Studies , 1992 .

[9]  C Brownie Recent models for mark-recapture and mark-resighting data. , 1987, Biometrics.

[10]  B. Morgan,et al.  A model with first-year variation for ring-recovery data , 1989 .

[11]  J. Nichols,et al.  Statistical inference for capture-recapture experiments , 1992 .

[12]  P. M. North Models for a Simple Capture-Recapture Procedure to Estimate Population Size , 1981 .

[13]  A brief review of the (lack of) statistics of bird dispersal , 1988 .

[14]  E. Renshaw Stepping stone models for population growth , 1974, Journal of Applied Probability.

[15]  D. Parkin,et al.  The Effect of Age on Survival in the Canada Goose, (Branta Canadensis) in Nottinghamshire , 1985 .

[16]  P. M. North Comparing Changes from One Year to the Next in Bird Communities , 1982 .

[17]  David R. Anderson,et al.  The composite dynamic method as evidence for age-specific waterfowl mortality , 1979 .

[18]  D. Lack,et al.  Population Studies of Birds , 1967 .

[19]  J. Haldane,et al.  The Mathematics of Bird Population Growth and Decline , 1954 .

[20]  Kenneth H. Pollock,et al.  Estimation and analysis of survival distributions for radio-tagged animals , 1989 .

[21]  Philip M. North A Novel Clustering Method for Estimating Numbers of Bird Territories , 1977 .

[22]  R. M. Cormack,et al.  Mortality and Population Change of Dominican Gulls in Wellington, New Zealand: With a Statistical Appendix , 1970 .

[23]  M. D. Mountford Estimation of Population Fluctuations with Application to the Common Bird Census , 1982 .

[24]  R. Cormack Estimates of survival from the sighting of marked animals , 1964 .

[25]  E. Renshaw Velocities of propagation for stepping-stone models of population growth , 1977, Journal of Applied Probability.

[26]  A. J. Cavé Purple heron survival and drought in tropical West-Africa , 1983 .

[27]  The Estimation of Survival in Bird Populations By Recaptures or Sightings of Marked Individuals , 1985 .

[28]  G. Seber,et al.  Estimating age-specific survival rates from bird-band returns when the reporting rate is constant , 1971 .

[29]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Tests of the Assumptions Underlying Life Table Methods for Estimating Parameters from Cohort Data , 1981 .

[30]  D. Lack A Long-Term Study of the Great Tit (Parus major) , 1964 .

[31]  R. Lambeck,et al.  The analysis of monitoring data with the aid of time-series analysis , 1986, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[32]  G. Seber,et al.  The estimation of animal abundance and related parameters , 1974 .

[33]  George E. P. Box,et al.  Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control , 1977 .

[34]  B. Manly,et al.  Parsimonious modelling of capture―mark―recapture studies , 1985 .

[35]  C. Mead,et al.  The mortality of British Grey Herons , 1979 .

[36]  E. Renshaw Birth, death and migration processes , 1972 .

[37]  Philip M. North,et al.  On Seber's Method for Estimating Age-Specific Bird Survival Rates from Ringing Recoveries , 1981 .

[38]  C Brownie,et al.  Constant-parameter capture-recapture models. , 1986, Biometrics.

[39]  R. Cormack Loglinear Models for Capture-Recapture Experiments on Open Populations , 1980 .

[40]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Distance Sampling: Estimating Abundance of Biological Populations , 1995 .

[41]  Jean Clobert,et al.  Dependance de Facteurs de Milieu dans les Estimations de Taux de Survie par Capture-Recapture , 1985 .

[42]  B. Morgan,et al.  A modelling strategy for recovery data from birds ringed as nestlings. , 1992, Biometrics.

[43]  S. Buckland On the variable circular plot method of estimating animal density , 1987 .

[44]  D. Cooke,et al.  Stability of population growth determined by 2 X 2 Leslie matrix with density-dependent elements. , 1976, Biometrics.

[45]  K. Lakhani Inherent Difficulties in Estimating Age-Specific Bird Survival Rates from Ring Recoveries , 1985 .

[46]  G. Jolly EXPLICIT ESTIMATES FROM CAPTURE-RECAPTURE DATA WITH BOTH DEATH AND IMMIGRATION-STOCHASTIC MODEL. , 1965, Biometrika.

[47]  C. Lloyd Movement and Survival of British Razorbills , 1974 .

[48]  Philip M. North A Novel Clustering Method for Estimating Numbers of Bird Territories: An Addendum , 1979 .

[49]  A. Nj Estimating the proportion of uncatchable animals in a population by double-sampling. , 1986 .

[50]  R. M. Cormack Examples of the Use Of Glim to Analyse Capture-Recapture Studies , 1985 .

[51]  Kenneth H. Pollock,et al.  Capture-Recapture Models Allowing for Age-Dependent Survival and Capture Rates , 1981 .

[52]  Kenneth P. Burnham,et al.  Numerical Survival Rate Estimation for Capture-Recapture Models Using SAS PROC NLIN , 1989 .

[53]  G. Seber,et al.  Estimating time-specific survival and reporting rates for adult birds from band returns , 1970 .

[54]  C Brownie,et al.  Models allowing for age-dependent survival rates for band-return data. , 1976, Biometrics.

[55]  L. Batten The Seasonal Distribution of Recoveries and Causes of Blackbird Mortality , 1978 .

[56]  Philip M. North,et al.  Ring recovery analytical methods : a brief review , 1987 .

[57]  P. Rothery Estimation of Age-Specific Survival of Hen Harriers (Circus C. Cyaneus) in Orkney , 1985 .

[58]  P. M. North Relating Grey Heron survival rates to winter weather conditions , 1979 .

[59]  G. Seber A NOTE ON THE MULTIPLE-RECAPTURE CENSUS. , 1965, Biometrika.

[60]  J. N. R. Jeffers,et al.  An introduction to systems analysis, with ecological applications , 1980 .

[61]  Stephen T. Buckland,et al.  A MARK-RECAPTURE SURVIVAL ANALYSIS , 1982 .

[62]  Gordon H. Orians,et al.  A Capture-Recapture Analysis of a Shearwater Population: With a Statistical Appendix , 1958 .

[63]  D. Cox,et al.  Analysis of Survival Data. , 1986 .

[64]  P. M. North A computer modelling study of the population dynamics of the screech owl (Otus asio) , 1985 .

[65]  M. D. Mountford An Index of Population Change With Application to the Common Bird Census , 1985 .

[66]  C. Mead The Results of Ringing Auks in Britain and Ireland , 1974 .

[67]  Philip M. North,et al.  A computer simulation study of stochastic models to investigate the population dynamics of the screech owl (otus asio) under increased mortality , 1988 .

[68]  G. Seber A review of estimating animal abundance. , 1986, Biometrics.

[69]  G. Upton,et al.  A Model for Interyear Change in the Size of Bird Populations , 1981 .

[70]  Cormack Rm,et al.  A test for equal catchability. , 1966 .

[71]  Kenneth H. Pollock,et al.  Design and Analysis Methods for Fish Survival Experiments Based on Release-Recapture. , 1988 .

[72]  G. P. Kirkwood,et al.  Estimation of survival in marked populations with possibly dependent sighting probabilities , 1981 .

[73]  Henry C. Bourne,et al.  Postfledging Survival of European Starlings Exposed as Nestlings to an Organophosphorus Insecticide , 1988 .

[74]  B. Morgan,et al.  The General Context of Statistics in Ornithology , 1985 .

[75]  H. Boyd Statistics of the British Population of the Pink-Footed Goose , 1956 .

[76]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Statistical Inference from Band Recovery Data: A Handbook , 1978 .

[77]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Statistical Inference from Band Recovery Data - A Handbook , 1978 .