Long-term uncertainties and potential risks to urban waters in Belo Horizonte

This paper addresses urban water potential risks for the next 30 to 50 years at Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Belo Horizonte is a planned city, built in 1898 to become the capital of the state of Minas Gerais. The city, located in a mountainous region of tropical soils, has a population of 2,227,400 inhabitants with a population density of 6,900 inhabitants/km. Long-term uncertainties and potential risks to urban waters are assessed on the base of scenarios involving demographic projections, climate change estimations, land use trends, institutional and legal possible developments, on going programmes and other factors considered relevant to urban waters in the future.