LSTM-Based Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction With Multi-Channel Charging Profiles

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries can reduce the risk of battery failure by predicting the end of life. In this paper, we propose novel RUL prediction techniques based on long short-term memory (LSTM). To estimate RUL even in the presence of capacity regeneration phenomenon, we consider multiple measurable data from battery management system such as voltage, current and temperature charging profiles whose patterns vary as aging. Unlike the traditional LSTM prediction that matches input layer with output layer as one-to-one structure, we leverage many-to-one structure to be flexible for various input types and to substantially reduce the number of parameters for better generalization. Using the NASA lithium-ion battery datasets, we verify the accuracy of the proposed LSTM-based RUL prediction. The experimental results show that the proposed single-channel LSTM model improves the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 39.2% compared to the baseline LSTM model. Furthermore, the proposed multi-channel LSTM model significantly improves the MAPE, e.g., by 63.7% compared to the baseline; the proposed model achieves 0.47–1.88% of MAPE while the state-of-the-art baseline LSTM shows 0.6–6.45% of MAPE.

[1]  Arun Ross,et al.  Score normalization in multimodal biometric systems , 2005, Pattern Recognit..

[2]  Bhaskar Saha,et al.  An Adaptive Recurrent Neural Network for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries , 2010 .

[3]  Dongpu Cao,et al.  Battery Health Prognosis for Electric Vehicles Using Sample Entropy and Sparse Bayesian Predictive Modeling , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[4]  Hongwen He,et al.  Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology.

[5]  Feng Liu,et al.  A Neural-Network-Based Method for RUL Prediction and SOH Monitoring of Lithium-Ion Battery , 2019, IEEE Access.

[6]  Bing Xiao,et al.  Accurate State-of-Charge Estimation Approach for Lithium-Ion Batteries by Gated Recurrent Unit With Ensemble Optimizer , 2019, IEEE Access.

[7]  Yu Zhang,et al.  Simple Recurrent Units for Highly Parallelizable Recurrence , 2017, EMNLP.

[8]  Mattia Ricco,et al.  A Simplified Model-Based State-of-Charge Estimation Approach for Lithium-Ion Battery With Dynamic Linear Model , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[9]  Yoshua Bengio,et al.  Learning long-term dependencies with gradient descent is difficult , 1994, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[10]  Jun Peng,et al.  A Novel Method for Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using Time Window and Gradient Boosting Decision Trees , 2019, 2019 10th International Conference on Power Electronics and ECCE Asia (ICPE 2019 - ECCE Asia).

[11]  Hongseok Kim,et al.  Machine Learning-Based Lithium-Ion Battery Capacity Estimation Exploiting Multi-Channel Charging Profiles , 2019, IEEE Access.

[12]  Michael Buchholz,et al.  Health diagnosis and remaining useful life prognostics of lithium-ion batteries using data-driven methods , 2013 .

[13]  Chao Lyu,et al.  Remaining capacity estimation of Li-ion batteries based on temperature sample entropy and particle filter , 2014 .

[14]  Lei Ren,et al.  Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Battery: A Deep Learning Approach , 2018, IEEE Access.

[15]  Yu Peng,et al.  A Health Indicator Extraction and Optimization Framework for Lithium-Ion Battery Degradation Modeling and Prognostics , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems.

[16]  Lutz Prechelt,et al.  Early Stopping - But When? , 2012, Neural Networks: Tricks of the Trade.

[17]  Po Hu,et al.  RUL prognostics method based on real time updating of LSTM parameters , 2018, 2018 Chinese Control And Decision Conference (CCDC).

[18]  Zonghai Chen,et al.  An online method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation using importance sampling and neural networks , 2016 .

[19]  Yu Peng,et al.  Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on GRU-RNN , 2018, 2018 12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety (ICRMS).

[20]  Erik Frisk,et al.  Data-Driven Battery Lifetime Prediction and Confidence Estimation for Heavy-Duty Trucks , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[21]  Michael Pecht,et al.  Remaining useful life estimation of lithium-ion cells based on k-nearest neighbor regression with differential evolution optimization , 2020 .

[22]  Changhua Hu,et al.  An Adaptive Remaining Useful Life Estimation Approach for Newly Developed System Based on Nonlinear Degradation Model , 2019, IEEE Access.

[23]  Taejung Yeo,et al.  A novel multistage Support Vector Machine based approach for Li ion battery remaining useful life estimation , 2015 .

[24]  Jimmy Ba,et al.  Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization , 2014, ICLR.

[25]  Yuan Yu,et al.  TensorFlow: A system for large-scale machine learning , 2016, OSDI.

[26]  Bo Sun,et al.  Online prognostication of remaining useful life for random discharge lithium-ion batteries using a gamma process model , 2019, 2019 20th International Conference on Thermal, Mechanical and Multi-Physics Simulation and Experiments in Microelectronics and Microsystems (EuroSimE).

[27]  Enrico Sciubba,et al.  Automatic diagnostics and prognostics of energy conversion processes via knowledge-based systems , 2004 .