Ja n 20 08 Bayesian Treed Gaussian Process Models with an Application to Computer Modeling

Motivated by a computer experiment for the design of a rocket booster, this article explores nonstationary modeling methodologies that couple stationary Gaussian processes with treed partitioning. Partitioning is a simple but effective method for dealing with nonstationarity. The methodological developments and statistical computing details that make this approach efficient are described in detail. In addition to providing an analysis of the rocket booster simulator, we show that our approach is effective in other arenas as well.

[1]  A. O'Hagan,et al.  Bayesian inference for non‐stationary spatial covariance structure via spatial deformations , 2003 .

[2]  D. Hand,et al.  Bayesian partition modelling , 2002 .

[3]  Robert B. Gramacy,et al.  Gaussian processes and limiting linear models , 2008, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[4]  Edward I. George,et al.  Bayesian Treed Models , 2002, Machine Learning.

[5]  A. O'Hagan,et al.  Bayesian calibration of computer models , 2001 .

[6]  N. Hjort,et al.  Topics in Spatial Statistics , 1992 .

[7]  Adrian F. M. Smith,et al.  A Bayesian CART algorithm , 1998 .

[8]  B. Silverman,et al.  Some Aspects of the Spline Smoothing Approach to Non‐Parametric Regression Curve Fitting , 1985 .

[9]  Robert B. Gramacy,et al.  Parameter space exploration with Gaussian process trees , 2004, ICML.

[10]  Shinichi Morishita,et al.  On Classification and Regression , 1998, Discovery Science.

[11]  David Higdon,et al.  Non-Stationary Spatial Modeling , 2022, 2212.08043.

[12]  Robert B. Gramacy,et al.  Bayesian treed gaussian process models , 2005 .

[13]  M. Fuentes Spectral methods for nonstationary spatial processes , 2002 .

[14]  H. Chipman,et al.  Bayesian CART Model Search , 1998 .

[15]  Leo Breiman,et al.  Classification and Regression Trees , 1984 .

[16]  Peter Green,et al.  Markov chain Monte Carlo in Practice , 1996 .

[17]  Christopher M. Bishop,et al.  Classification and regression , 1997 .

[18]  Christopher J. Paciorek,et al.  Nonstationary Gaussian Processes for Regression and Spatial Modelling , 2003 .

[19]  Carl E. Rasmussen,et al.  Infinite Mixtures of Gaussian Process Experts , 2001, NIPS.

[20]  Alan E. Gelfand,et al.  Model Determination using sampling-based methods , 1996 .

[21]  J. Berger,et al.  Objective Bayesian Analysis of Spatially Correlated Data , 2001 .

[22]  P. Green,et al.  Corrigendum: On Bayesian analysis of mixtures with an unknown number of components , 1997 .

[23]  B. Mallick,et al.  Analyzing Nonstationary Spatial Data Using Piecewise Gaussian Processes , 2005 .

[24]  Stuart E. Rogers,et al.  Automated CFD Parameter Studies on Distributed Parallel Computers , 2003 .

[25]  Sylvia Richardson,et al.  Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice , 1997 .

[26]  P. Guttorp,et al.  Nonparametric Estimation of Nonstationary Spatial Covariance Structure , 1992 .