Modeling Self-deception within a Decision-Theoretic Framework

Computational modeling of human belief maintenance and decision-making processes has become increasingly important for a wide range of applications. In this paper, we present a framework for modeling the human capacity for self-deception from a decision-theoretic perspective in which we describe processes for determining a desired belief state, the biasing of internal beliefs towards the desired belief state, and the actual decision-making process based upon the integrated biases. Furthermore, we show that in some situations self-deception can be beneficial.

[1]  David V. Pynadath,et al.  PsychSim: Agent-based Modeling of Social Interactions and Influence , 2004, ICCM.

[2]  David E. Bell,et al.  Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty , 1982, Oper. Res..

[3]  Stacy Marsella,et al.  Modeling coping behavior in virtual humans: don't worry, be happy , 2003, AAMAS '03.

[4]  R. Sugden,et al.  Regret Theory: An alternative theory of rational choice under uncertainty Review of Economic Studies , 1982 .

[5]  A. Mele Self-Deception Unmasked , 2001 .

[6]  L. Festinger,et al.  A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance , 2017 .

[7]  Raphael Demos Lying to Oneself , 1960 .

[8]  R. Lazarus Emotion and Adaptation , 1991 .

[9]  William J. Talbott,et al.  Intentional Self-Deception in a Single Coherent Self , 1995 .

[10]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Decision Making under Ambiguity , 1986 .

[11]  Alfred R. Mele Understanding and explaining real self-deception , 1997, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[12]  L. J. Savage,et al.  The Foundations of Statistics , 1955 .

[13]  Stacy Marsella,et al.  A domain-independent framework for modeling emotion , 2004, Cognitive Systems Research.

[14]  Z. Kunda,et al.  The case for motivated reasoning. , 1990, Psychological bulletin.

[15]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[16]  Rosalind W. Picard,et al.  Establishing the computer-patient working alliance in automated health behavior change interventions. , 2005, Patient education and counseling.

[17]  Maria R. Cravo,et al.  Affective Revision , 2005, EPIA.

[18]  Stacy Marsella,et al.  PsychSim: Modeling Theory of Mind with Decision-Theoretic Agents , 2005, IJCAI.

[19]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .