Pricing exotic options under regime switching

Abstract This paper studies the pricing of options when the volatility of the underlying asset depends upon a hidden Markov process which takes discrete values. It is assumed that the regime switching process is generated by time-independent rate parameters and is independent of the Brownian motion. We derive the coupled Black–Scholes-type partial differential equations that govern the dynamics of several exotic options. These include European, Asian and lookback options. The difference in option prices with and without regime switching is substantial for lookback options and more moderate for European and Asian options.

[1]  L. Rogers,et al.  The value of an Asian option , 1995, Journal of Applied Probability.

[2]  James D. Hamilton,et al.  Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and changes in regime , 1994 .

[3]  Nicolas P. B. Bollen Valuing Options in Regime-Switching Models , 1998 .

[4]  J. Ingersoll Theory of Financial Decision Making , 1987 .

[5]  H. Gummel,et al.  Large-signal analysis of a silicon Read diode oscillator , 1969 .

[6]  Gurdip Bakshi,et al.  Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models , 1997 .

[7]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous , 1976 .

[8]  Vasant Naik,et al.  Option Valuation and Hedging Strategies with Jumps in the Volatility of Asset Returns , 1993 .

[9]  A. Kemna,et al.  A pricing method for options based on average asset values , 1990 .

[10]  James D. Hamilton Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime , 1990 .

[11]  M. Goldman,et al.  Path Dependent Options: "Buy at the Low, Sell at the High" , 1979 .

[12]  Xin Guo,et al.  Information and option pricings , 2001 .

[13]  P. Wilmott,et al.  Option pricing: Mathematical models and computation , 1994 .

[14]  Peter H. Ritchken,et al.  Option pricing under regime switching , 2002 .

[15]  David S. Bates Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Thephlx Deutschemark Options , 1993 .

[16]  P. Koehl,et al.  A P.D.E. Approach to Asian Options: Analytical and Numerical Evidence , 1997 .

[17]  Alan G. White,et al.  The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities , 1987 .

[18]  Wolfgang J. Runggaldier,et al.  Mean-variance hedging of options on stocks with Markov volatilities , 1995 .

[19]  James D. Hamilton A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle , 1989 .

[20]  Luca Benzoni,et al.  An Empirical Investigation of Continuous-Time Equity Return Models , 2001 .