Emerging Market Equity Prices and Chaos: Evidence from Thailand Exchange

We test for the presence of low-dimensional chaotic structure in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index. While we find strong evidence of nonlinear dependencies, the evidence is not consistent with chaos. Our test results indicate that ARCH-type processes generally explain the nonlinearities in the data. We also show that employing seasonally adjusted index series contributes to obtaining robust results via some of the existing tests for chaotic structure.

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