Making College Worth It: A Review of the Returns to Higher Education

Despite a general rise in the return to college, likely due to technological change, the cost-benefit calculus facing prospective students can make the decision to invest in and attend college dauntingly complex. Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic review research on the varying costs and benefits of higher education and explore in full the complexity of the decision to invest in and attend college. Optimal college attainment decisions are different for all prospective students, who diverge in terms of what they are likely to get out of higher education and what specific options might be best for them. Earnings of college graduates depend in important measure on the program of study and eventual occupation they choose. Students uninterested in or unable to complete a four-year college degree appear to benefit from completing a two-year degree. Prospective students may also face both financial constraints, which prohibit them from taking advantage of more education, and information problems and behavioral idiosyncrasies, such as reluctance to take on debt, which keep them from making optimal decisions about attending college. In their discussion of how student debt figures in the college investment, the authors note that some students borrow too little and, as a result, underinvest in their education. Carefully calculating the return on the college investment can help determine the “appropriate” amount of debt. Students are more likely to benefit from postsecondary education the more informed they are about the expenses associated with college and the potential options for financial aid, which can be extremely complex. To make the best college investment, Oreopoulos and Petronijevic stress, prospective students must give careful consideration to selecting the institution itself, the major to follow, and the eventual occupation to pursue. For any particular program at a particular school, anticipated future labor market earnings, the likelihood of completion, the costs, and the value of any student debt must all be factored into the assessment.

[1]  John Bound,et al.  Dropouts and Diplomas , 2011 .

[2]  E. Hanushek,et al.  Handbook of the Economics of Education , 2006 .

[3]  Judith E. Scott-Clayton WHAT EXPLAINS TRENDS IN LABOR SUPPLY AMONG U.S. UNDERGRADUATES? , 2012, National Tax Journal.

[4]  Mark Hoekstra,et al.  The Effect of Attending the Flagship State University on Earnings: A Discontinuity-Based Approach , 2009, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[5]  A. Carnevale,et al.  The College Payoff: Education, Occupations, Lifetime Earnings. , 2011 .

[6]  A. Krueger,et al.  Estimating the Payoff to Attending a More Selective College: An Application of Selection on Observables and Unobservables , 2002 .

[7]  Kenneth R. Troske,et al.  The Labor-Market Returns to Community College Degrees, Diplomas, and Certificates , 2014, Journal of Labor Economics.

[8]  Kevin Stange,et al.  An Empirical Investigation of the Option Value of College Enrollment , 2012 .

[9]  S. Cellini,et al.  The Labor Market Returns to a Private Two-Year College Education , 2011 .

[10]  C. Hoxby Introduction to "College Choices: The Economics of Where to Go, When to Go, and How to Pay For It" , 2004 .

[11]  L. Lochner,et al.  The Changing Role of Family Income and Ability in Determining Educational Achievement , 2007, Journal of Human Capital.

[12]  E. Bettinger,et al.  The Role of Simplification and Information in College Decisions: Results from the H&R Block Fafsa Experiment , 2009 .

[13]  Marcus M. Stanley College Education and the Midcentury GI Bills , 2003 .

[14]  Michael Hout,et al.  Social and Economic Returns to College Education in the United States , 2012 .

[15]  Judith Scott Clayton Information Constraints and Financial Aid Policy , 2012 .

[16]  Richard Arum,et al.  Academically Adrift: Limited Learning on College Campuses , 2011 .

[17]  Peter S. Arcidiacono,et al.  Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability , 2008 .

[18]  Thomas J. Kane,et al.  Labor Market Returns to Two- and Four-Year Colleges: Is a Credit a Credit and Do Degrees Matter? , 1993 .

[19]  K. Salvanes,et al.  Priceless: The Nonpecuniary Benefits of Schooling , 2011 .

[20]  C. Goldin,et al.  The Race between Education and Technology: The Evolution of U.S. Educational Wage Differentials, 1890 to 2005 , 2007 .

[21]  Sarah Turner,et al.  Chapter 8 – Dropouts and Diplomas: The Divergence in Collegiate Outcomes , 2011 .

[22]  J. Mincer Education and Unemployment , 1991 .

[23]  Ralph Stinebrickner,et al.  Learning About Academic Ability and the College Drop-Out Decision , 2009 .

[24]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  What Does Human Capital Do? A Review of Goldin and Katz&Apos;S the Race between Education and Technology , 2012 .

[25]  S. Zimmerman The Returns to Four-Year College for Academically Marginal Students , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[26]  F. Earls The Future of Children , 1999 .

[27]  Petra E. Todd,et al.  Earnings Functions, Rates of Return and Treatment Effects: The Mincer Equation and Beyond , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[28]  David Card,et al.  Using Geographic Variation in College Proximity to Estimate the Return to Schooling , 1993 .

[29]  Peter Arcidiacono,et al.  Web Appendix: Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability , 2009 .

[30]  David Card,et al.  Education, Earnings, and the "Canadian G.I. Bill" , 1998 .

[31]  R. Topel,et al.  The Social Value of Education and Human Capital , 2006 .

[32]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  The Race Between Education And Technology , 2008 .

[33]  Judith Scott Clayton What Explains Trends in Labor Supply Among U.S. Undergraduates, 1970-2009? , 2012 .

[34]  James J. Heckman,et al.  Chapter 7 Earnings Functions, Rates of Return and Treatment Effects: The Mincer Equation and Beyond , 2006 .

[35]  Philip Oreopoulos,et al.  Making College Worth it: A Review of Research on the Returns to Higher Education , 2013 .

[36]  Ralph Stinebrickner,et al.  Learning about Academic Ability and the College Dropout Decision , 2009, Journal of Labor Economics.

[37]  S. Lee,et al.  Trends in Quality-Adjusted Skill Premia in the United States, 1960-2000 , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[38]  Christopher Avery,et al.  Student Loans: Do College Students Borrow Too Much--Or Not Enough? , 2012 .

[39]  S. Turner Going to College and Finishing College , 2004 .

[40]  L. Lochner,et al.  Credit Constraints in Education , 2011 .

[41]  Edward Vytlacil,et al.  Estimating Marginal Returns to Education , 2010, The American economic review.

[42]  David H. Autor,et al.  The polarization of job opportunities in the U.S. labor market: implications for employment and earnings , 2011 .

[43]  A. Carnevale,et al.  The Undereducated American , 2013 .

[44]  J. Angrist,et al.  Schooling and the Vietnam-Era GI Bill: Evidence from the Draft Lottery , 2011 .

[45]  M. Schapiro College Choices: The Economics of Where to Go, When to Go, and How to Pay For It , 2005 .

[46]  Saul Schwartz,et al.  Is College Affordable? In Search of a Meaningful Definition. Issue Brief. , 2012 .

[47]  J. Bound,et al.  Cohort Crowding: How Resources Affect Collegiate Attainment , 2006 .

[48]  Trends in Quality Adjusted Skill Premia in the US, 1960-2000 , 2010 .

[49]  Berol Robinson Student loans , 1986, Nature.

[50]  Peter S. Arcidiacono,et al.  Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability. NBER Working Paper No. 13951. , 2008 .

[51]  Sarah Turner,et al.  Increasing Time to Baccalaureate Degree in the United States , 2010, Education Finance and Policy.