It Runs in the Family: Testing for Longitudinal Family Flynn Effects

The Flynn effect refers to increases over time in measured (particularly fluid) intelligence of approximately 3 IQ points per decade. We define the Flynn effect at the family level, using longitudinal data and two new family-level cohort definitions. Multilevel growth curve analyses of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 data showed that children in families with later-born mothers had higher average PIAT math scores, and lower average reading comprehension scores and growth, in young and middle childhood. Children in families where the first child was born later had higher average PIAT math, reading recognition, and reading comprehension scores, as well as larger developmental growth. The latter family-level Flynn effects were of higher magnitudes than the usual individual-level Flynn effect found in previous studies. Our results, showing family level-intercept and slope Flynn effects for both maternal birthyear and first child birthyear, have implications for research aiming to explain the Flynn effect.

[1]  P. Peterson,et al.  A Half Century of Progress in US Student Achievement: Agency and Flynn Effects, Ethnic and SES Differences , 2022, Educational Psychology Review.

[2]  E. Turkheimer,et al.  Genetically informed, multilevel analysis of the Flynn Effect across four decades and three WISC versions. , 2021, Child development.

[3]  J. Rodgers,et al.  Home Improvement: Evaluating Secular Changes in NLSY HOME-Cognitive Stimulation and Emotional Support Scores , 2021, Journal of Child and Family Studies.

[4]  J. Kaye,et al.  Cohort and Period Effects as Explanations for Declining Dementia Trends and Cognitive Aging. , 2021, Population and development review.

[5]  J. Rodgers,et al.  Getting a Grip on Secular Changes: Age-Period-Cohort modeling of grip strength in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. , 2021, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[6]  Jorge Cuartas The effect of maternal education on parenting and early childhood development: An instrumental variables approach. , 2021, Journal of family psychology : JFP : journal of the Division of Family Psychology of the American Psychological Association.

[7]  J. Rodgers,et al.  The Flynn effect can become embedded in tests: How cross-sectional age norms can corrupt longitudinal research , 2020 .

[8]  Christopher Winship,et al.  Bounding Analyses of Age-Period-Cohort Effects , 2019, Demography.

[9]  Christopher Winship,et al.  Analyzing Age-Period-Cohort Data: A Review and Critique , 2019, Annual Review of Sociology.

[10]  Peng Peng,et al.  A Meta-Analysis on the Relation Between Fluid Intelligence and Reading/Mathematics: Effects of Tasks, Age, and Social Economics Status , 2019, Psychological bulletin.

[11]  L. Wagner,et al.  Psychology and Aging , 2018, Aging and Diversity.

[12]  O. Røgeberg,et al.  Flynn effect and its reversal are both environmentally caused , 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[13]  J. Rodgers,et al.  Double Decomposition of Level-1 Variables in Multilevel Models: An Analysis of the Flynn Effect in the NSLY Data , 2017, Multivariate behavioral research.

[14]  T. Coyle,et al.  Survey of Expert Opinion on Intelligence: Causes of International Differences in Cognitive Ability Tests , 2016, Front. Psychol..

[15]  J. Rodgers Methodological Issues Associated with Studying the Flynn Effect: Exploratory and Confirmatory Efforts in the Past, Present, and Future , 2015 .

[16]  M. Voracek,et al.  One Century of Global IQ Gains , 2015, Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science.

[17]  E. Peters,et al.  The cognitive impact of the education revolution: A possible cause of the Flynn Effect on population IQ , 2015 .

[18]  B. Johansson,et al.  Birth cohort differences in fluid cognition in old age: comparisons of trends in levels and change trajectories over 30 years in three population-based samples. , 2015, Psychology and aging.

[19]  J. Sundet The Flynn Effect in Families: Studies of Register Data on Norwegian Military Conscripts and Their Families , 2014 .

[20]  J. Fletcher,et al.  The Flynn effect: a meta-analysis. , 2014, Psychological bulletin.

[21]  S. D. Brown,et al.  Four successful tests of the Cognitive Differentiation-Integration Effort hypothesis , 2013 .

[22]  R. Lynn,et al.  A negative Flynn effect in Finland, 1997–2009 , 2013 .

[23]  S. Fienberg Cohort Analysis’ Unholy Quest: A Discussion , 2013, Demography.

[24]  K. Jones,et al.  The impossibility of separating age, period and cohort effects. , 2013, Social science & medicine.

[25]  U. Staudinger,et al.  The Flynn effect and population aging , 2013 .

[26]  R. Lynn Who discovered the Flynn effect? A review of early studies of the secular increase of intelligence , 2013 .

[27]  Siew C. Ang,et al.  The Flynn Effect within Subgroups in the U.S.: Gender, Race, Income, Education, and Urbanization Differences in the NLSY-Children Data. , 2010, Intelligence.

[28]  Guohua Li,et al.  What is a cohort effect? Comparison of three statistical methods for modeling cohort effects in obesity prevalence in the United States, 1971-2006. , 2010, Social science & medicine.

[29]  M. Hiscock,et al.  Age-related IQ decline is reduced markedly after adjustment for the Flynn effect , 2010, Journal of clinical and experimental neuropsychology.

[30]  J. Flynn The WAIS-III and WAIS-IV: Daubert Motions Favor the Certainly False over the Approximately True , 2009, Applied neuropsychology.

[31]  J. Rodgers,et al.  Education and Cognitive Ability as Direct, Mediating, or Spurious Influences on Female Age at First Birth: Behavior Genetic Models Fit to Danish Twin Data1 , 2008, American Journal of Sociology.

[32]  Michael A. Mingroni Resolving the IQ paradox: heterosis as a cause of the Flynn effect and other trends. , 2007, Psychological review.

[33]  J. Rodgers,et al.  Identification of a Flynn Effect in the NLSY: Moving from the center to the boundaries , 2007 .

[34]  S. Ceci,et al.  Age Differences within Secular IQ Trends: An Individual Growth Modeling Approach. , 2005 .

[35]  T. Teasdale,et al.  A long-term rise and recent decline in intelligence test performance: The Flynn Effect in reverse , 2005 .

[36]  J. Sundet,et al.  The end of the Flynn effect?: A study of secular trends in mean intelligence test scores of Norwegian conscripts during half a century , 2004 .

[37]  F. Mott,et al.  The Utility of the HOME-SF Scale for Child Development Research in a Large National Longitudinal Survey: The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 Cohort , 2004 .

[38]  J. Rodgers,et al.  DOES EDUCATION MEDIATE THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN IQ AND AGE OF FIRST BIRTH? A BEHAVIOURAL GENETIC ANALYSIS , 2002, Journal of Biosocial Science.

[39]  A. Mcculloch,et al.  Neighbourhood and family influences on the cognitive ability of children in the British National Child Development Study. , 2001, Social science & medicine.

[40]  R. Nash Class, 'Ability' and Attainment: A problem for the sociology of education , 2001 .

[41]  J. Flynn,et al.  Heritability estimates versus large environmental effects: the IQ paradox resolved. , 2001, Psychological review.

[42]  T. Teasdale,et al.  Forty-Year Secular Trends in Cognitive Abilties , 2000 .

[43]  J. Rodgers A critique of the Flynn Effect: massive IQ gains, methodological artifacts, or both? , 1998 .

[44]  I. Smith,et al.  Rising IQ scores in British children: recent evidence. , 1992, Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines.

[45]  J. Flynn Massive IQ gains in 14 nations: What IQ tests really measure. , 1987 .

[46]  Lillian Belmont,et al.  Birth Order, Family Size, and Intelligence , 1973, Science.

[47]  J. Grégoire,et al.  No negative Flynn effect in France: Why variations of intelligence should not be assessed using tests based on cultural knowledge , 2021 .

[48]  Lindsay Paterson Filial Intelligence and Family Social Class, 1947 to 2012 , 2021, Sociological Science.

[49]  U. Neisser Test scores are certainly going up all over the world, but whether intelligence itself has risen remains controversial , 2016 .

[50]  T. Salthouse Implications of the Flynn Effect for Age-Cognition Relations. , 2015, Intelligence.

[51]  J. Rodgers Are birth order effects on intelligence really Flynn Effects? Reinterpreting Belmont and Marolla 40 years later , 2014 .

[52]  R. Steen Human intelligence and medical illness , 2009 .

[53]  R. Lynn What has caused the Flynn effect? Secular increases in the Development Quotients of infants , 2009 .

[54]  Siew C. Ang The Flynn effect within demographic subgroups and within items: Moving from the general to the specific , 2008 .

[55]  Ulric Neisser,et al.  The rising curve: Long-term gains in IQ and related measures. , 1998 .

[56]  Wendy M. Williams,et al.  Are we raising smarter children today? School- and home-related influences on IQ. , 1998 .

[57]  James R. Flynn,et al.  The mean IQ of Americans: Massive gains 1932 to 1978. , 1984 .