Calculations Pertaining to Hygroscopic Seeding with Flares

Some possible effects of hygroscopic seeding with flares are explored by calculating how such seeding would modify the initial size distribution of cloud droplets and the subsequent evolution of that size distribution by coalescence. To be representative of recent experiments in South Africa, the calculations emphasize the effects of hygroscopic particles that can be produced by flares, instead of the larger particles used in most past hygroscopic-seeding experiments. Parcel calculations representing simultaneous condensation and coalescence suggest that the formation of rain through the warm-rain process can be accelerated significantly by the addition of such hygroscopic particles. Some observations of the effects of hygroscopic material near cloud base support at least the early stages of the calculations. The results suggest that the positive effects being obtained in the South African experiment may occur through such acceleration of the warm-rain process. Possible cloud-seeding applications and climate implications are discussed.

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