Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of the Strategic Energy Technology Plan on the European Power Sector

The goal of this analysis is to capture the effect of increasing research, development and demonstration (RD&D) efforts for a set of low-carbon power technologies on the development of the European energy sector. The report finds that an increase in research efforts on a global level, that for the EU are in line with the RD&D investments proposed in the context of the European Strategic Energy Technology Plan, will contribute to reducing the costs of currently less mature low-carbon technologies, and therefore accelerate their market entry. Following from the lower technology investment costs, the economic rate of return of the additional SET-Plan investments in the EU would be positive, reaching around 15% for a time horizon between 2010 and 2030. The cumulative (discounted) benefit of the RD&D investments would be negative in early years before turning positive around the year 2020 and remaining so thereafter.

[1]  Joanne Atkinson,et al.  Inside the black box , 2020, Human rights and humanitarian diplomacy.

[2]  Danièle Revel,et al.  PV status report , 2011 .

[3]  Tobias Wiesenthal,et al.  RandD Investment in the Priority Technologies of the European Strategic Energy Technology Plan , 2009 .

[4]  Apresentação Paulo Bastos Tigre Bengt-Åke Lundvall - Innovation as an interactive process: from user-producer interaction to the national system of innovation , 2009 .

[5]  Melissa A. Schilling,et al.  Technology S-Curves in Renewable Energy Alternatives: Analysis and Implications for Industry and Government. , 2009 .

[6]  Bert Saveyn,et al.  Economic Assessment of Post-2012 Global Climate Policies - Analysis of Gas Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 models , 2009 .

[7]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  Empirical challenges in the use of learning curves for assessing the economic prospects of renewable energy technologies , 2007 .

[8]  Tooraj Jamasb,et al.  Learning Curves For Energy Technology: A Critical Assessment , 2007 .

[9]  Uyterlinde,et al.  Technology Options and Effective Policies to Reduce GHG Emissions and Improve Security of Supply , 2007 .

[10]  Jochen Markard,et al.  Innovation processes in large technical systems: Market liberalization as a driver for radical change? , 2006 .

[11]  P. Criqui,et al.  Impacts of Multi-gas Strategies for Greenhouse Gas Emission Abatement: Insights from a Partial Equilibrium Model , 2006 .

[12]  Socrates Kypreos,et al.  A Merge Model with Endogenous Technological Change and the Cost of Carbon Stabilization , 2005 .

[13]  Asami Miketa,et al.  The impact of R&D on innovation for wind energy in Denmark, Germany and the United Kingdom , 2005 .

[14]  M. Pollitt,et al.  Electricity Market Reform in the European Union: Review of Progress toward Liberalization &Integration* , 2005 .

[15]  Jaeger-Waldau Arnulf,et al.  PV Status - Research, Solar Cell Production and Market Implementation of Photovoltaics , 2005 .

[16]  Antonio Soria,et al.  Technical change dynamics: evidence from the emerging renewable energy technologies , 2001 .

[17]  Chihiro Watanabe,et al.  Industrial dynamism and the creation of a “virtuous cycle” between R&D, market growth and price reduction: The case of photovoltaic power generation (PV) development in Japan , 2000 .

[18]  Chihiro Watanabe,et al.  Systems option for sustainable development—effect and limit of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry's efforts to substitute technology for energy , 1999 .

[19]  Devendra Sahal,et al.  Technological guideposts and innovation avenues , 1993 .

[20]  Daniel A. Levinthal,et al.  Innovation and Learning: The Two Faces of R&D , 1989 .

[21]  G. Dosi,et al.  Technical Change and Economic Theory , 1989 .

[22]  Hao Li,et al.  TOWARDS A LOW CARBON FUTURE , 2010 .

[23]  Ottmar Edenhofer,et al.  Towards a Global Green Recovery. Recommendations for Immediate G20 Action. Report submitted to the G20 London Summit , 2009 .

[24]  S. Kahouli-Brahmi Technological learning in energy–environment–economy modelling: A survey , 2008 .

[25]  Giorgio Simbolotti,et al.  Energy Technology Perspectives 2008 , 2008 .

[26]  Russ Hans Peter,et al.  Global Climate Policy Scenarios for 2030 and beyond - Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Pathway Scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 Models , 2007 .

[27]  Denise Van Regemorter,et al.  Global climate policy scenarios for 2030 and beyond , 2007 .

[28]  Juan Carlos Ciscar,et al.  CO2 emission trading within the European Union and Annex B countries: the cement industry case , 2006 .

[29]  B. Schade Volkswirtschaftliche Bewertung von Szenarien mit System Dynamics. Bewertung von nachhaltigen Verkehrsszenarien mit ESCOT (Economic assessment of Sustainability poliCies Of Transport) , 2005 .

[30]  A. Jäger-Waldau Research, Solar Cell Production and Market Implementation of Photovoltaics , 2005 .

[31]  P. Criqui Greenhouse Gas Emission Control Strategies [GECS] : final report. Section 6: detailed report , 2002 .

[32]  Antonio Soria,et al.  Modelling energy technology dynamics: methodology for adaptive expectations models with learning by doing and learning by searching , 2000 .