Urban Simulation Using Neural Networks and Cellular Automata for Land Use Planning

The paper presents a method for integrating neural networks, GIS and Cellular Automata (CA) that can be used in land use planning for simulating alternative development patterns according to different planning objectives. Neural networks are used to simplify model structures and facilitate the determination of parameter values. Unlike traditional CA models, the proposed model does not require users to provide transition rules, which may vary for different applications. Historical remote sensing data are used as the training data to calibrate the neural network. The training is robust because it is based on the well-defined back-propagation algorithm. Moreover, original training data are assessed and modified according to planning objectives to generate alternative development patterns.

[1]  Stan Openshaw Modelling spatial interaction using a neural net , 1993 .

[2]  Alan T. Murray,et al.  A stochastically constrained cellular model of urban growth , 2000 .

[3]  S. Lombardo,et al.  Calibration Procedures and Problems of Stability in Nonlinear Dynamic Spatial Interaction Modeling , 1986 .

[4]  Xia Li,et al.  A Constrained CA Model for the Simulation and Planning of Sustainable Urban Forms by Using GIS , 2001 .

[5]  Xia Li,et al.  Modelling sustainable urban development by the integration of constrained cellular automata and GIS , 2000, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[6]  F. Wu,et al.  Simulation of Land Development through the Integration of Cellular Automata and Multicriteria Evaluation , 1998 .

[7]  Keith C. Clarke,et al.  A Self-Modifying Cellular Automaton Model of Historical Urbanization in the San Francisco Bay Area , 1997 .

[8]  Roger White,et al.  The Use of Constrained Cellular Automata for High-Resolution Modelling of Urban Land-Use Dynamics , 1997 .

[9]  A. Yeh,et al.  An integrated remote sensing and GIS approach in the monitoring and evaluation of rapid urban growth for sustainable development in the Pearl River Delta, China , 1997 .

[10]  Chris Webster,et al.  Regulation, Land-Use Mix, and Urban Performance. Part 2: Simulation , 1999 .

[11]  S. Gale,et al.  The Philosophy of Geography , 2021, Springer Geography.

[12]  M. Batty,et al.  Modeling urban dynamics through GIS-based cellular automata , 1999 .

[13]  A. Yeh,et al.  Economic Development and Agricultural Land Loss in the Pearl River Delta , 1997 .

[14]  Roger White,et al.  Cellular Automata and Fractal Urban Form: A Cellular Modelling Approach to the Evolution of Urban Land-Use Patterns , 1993 .

[15]  Anthony Gar-On Yeh,et al.  Simulation of development alternatives using neural networks, cellular automata, and GIS for urban planning , 2003 .

[16]  Manfred M. Fischer,et al.  ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: A NEW APPROACH TO MODELING INTERREGIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION FLOWS* , 1994 .

[17]  Michael Batty,et al.  From Cells to Cities , 1994 .

[18]  P. Gong,et al.  Integrated Analysis of Spatial Data from Multiple Sources: Using Evidential Reasoning and Artificial Neural Network Techniques for Geological Mapping , 1996 .

[19]  B. Soares-Filho,et al.  dinamica—a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier , 2002 .

[20]  Torsten Hägerstrand,et al.  A Monte Carlo Approach to Diffusion , 1965, European Journal of Sociology.

[21]  Keith C. Clarke,et al.  Loose-Coupling a Cellular Automaton Model and GIS: Long-Term Urban Growth Prediction for San Francisco and Washington/Baltimore , 1998, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[22]  Christopher M. Bishop,et al.  Neural networks for pattern recognition , 1995 .

[23]  A. Yeh,et al.  Economic Development and Agricultural Land Loss in the Pearl River Delta, China , 1999 .

[24]  Fangju Wang,et al.  The Use of Artificial Neural Networks in a Geographical Information System for Agricultural Land-Suitability Assessment , 1994 .