How Smartphones Transformed Market and Competition of Mobile Broadband in OECD Member Countries

Smartphones such as iPhones and Android was introduced to the market around 2007-9 in various OECD member countries. Since then, the transformation of the market was observed, which include (i) rapid growth of mobile broadband (3G+4G); (ii) severer market competition; and (iii) upheaval of market share of mobile carriers. More concretely, 34 OECD countries show the following: (i) the average diffusion rate of mobile broadband in 2008 was about 40%, whereas in 2012 it increased up to 80%; (ii) HHI also reduced in all countries; and (iii) it is common to countries that the carriers which introduced iPhones raised their market shares, whereas those which did not introduce lowered shares. This paper examines the above three transformations in 34 OECD countries by panel data analysis from 2000 to 2012 to identify factors of rapid growth of mobile broadband and market competition. In so doing, the paper estimates the mobile broadband adoption ratio by the following variables: monthly charge of voice services; monthly Data rate; download speed; HHI; GDP per capita; FTTH adoption ratio; the launches of Androids and iPhones; and other policy variables such as Frequency auction and MNP. By using the instrumental variables method, the results obtained are summarized as follows: (1) Price (Voice) is negatively significant; (2) Price (Data)/Speed is not significant; (3) Income is positively significant; (4) HHI is negatively significant; and the followings are positively significant; (5) FTTH adoption ratio; and (6) Launches of smartphones. The results of the analysis also use for discussing the above transformations such as (ii) and (iii).

[1]  Peter Yamakawa,et al.  The diffusion of mobile telephones: An empirical analysis for Peru , 2013 .

[2]  Incumbency and market share within European mobile telecommunication networks , 2012 .

[3]  Aurore J. Kamssu Global connectivity through wireless network technology: a possible solution for poor countries , 2005, Int. J. Mob. Commun..

[4]  P. Rouvinen,et al.  Diffusion of Digital Mobile Telephony : Are Developing Countries Different? , 2006 .

[5]  M. Minges Mobile cellular communications in the Southern African region , 1999 .

[6]  Masatsugu Tsuji,et al.  Empirical analysis of factors promoting the Japanese 3G mobile phone , 2012 .

[7]  Yeonbae Kim,et al.  Estimation of consumer preferences on new telecommunications services: IMT-2000 service in Korea , 2005, Inf. Econ. Policy.

[8]  M. Baliamoune-Lutz An analysis of the determinants and effects of ICT diffusion in developing countries , 2003 .

[9]  Atsushi Iimi,et al.  Estimating demand for cellular phone services in Japan , 2005 .

[10]  Akihiro Nakamura Changes in consumers' behavior when a vertically integrated service is separated —The case of Japanese mobile phone services— , 2010 .

[11]  Gary Madden,et al.  Economic determinants of global mobile telephony growth , 2004, Inf. Econ. Policy.

[12]  Shilin Zheng,et al.  Mobile and Fixed Substitution for Telephone Service in China , 2011 .

[13]  Nir Kshetri,et al.  What Factors are Driving China's Mobile Diffusion? , 2002, Electron. Mark..

[14]  Myeong-Ho Lee,et al.  An econometric analysis of the demand for access to mobile telephone networks , 1999 .

[15]  Allan T. Ingraham,et al.  The long-run effects of copper-loop unbundling and the implications for fiber , 2013 .

[16]  T. J. Gerpott Impacts of mobile Internet use intensity on the demand for SMS and voice services of mobile network operators: An empirical multi-method study of German mobile Internet customers , 2010 .

[17]  Sandra Thomas,et al.  Characteristics and mobile Internet use intensity of consumers with different types of advanced handsets: An exploratory empirical study of iPhone, Android and other web-enabled mobile users in Germany , 2013 .

[18]  Toshifumi Kuroda,et al.  Discrete choice model analysis of mobile telephone service demand in Japan , 2009 .

[19]  Harald Gruber,et al.  Competition and Innovation: The Diffusion of Mobile Telecommunications in Central and Eastern Europe , 2000, Inf. Econ. Policy.

[20]  Richard N. Clarke Expanding Mobile Wireless Capacity: The Challenges Presented by Technology and Economics , 2013 .

[21]  Pieter Ballon,et al.  ICT platforms and regulatory concerns in Europe , 2011 .