Forecasting epilepsy from the heart rate signal

Information contained in the R-R interval series, specific to the pre-ictal period, was sought by applying an unsupervised fuzzy clustering algorithm to the N-dimensional phase space of N consecutive interval durations or the absolute value of duration differences. Data sources were individual, complex partial seizures of temporal-lobe epileptics and generalised seizures of rats rendered epileptic with hyperbaric oxygen. Forecasting success was 86% and 82% (zero false positives in resistant rats), respectively, at times ranging from 10 min to 30s prior to seizure onset. Although certain forecasting clusters predominated in the patient group and different ones predominated in the animal group, forecasting on the whole was seizure-specific. The high prediction sensitivity of this method, which matches that of EEG-based methods, seems promising. It is believed that an on-line version of the algorithm, trained on each patient's peri-ictal ECG, could serve as a basis for a simple seizure alarm system.