Investment and generation optimization in electricity systems with intermittent supply

Increasing levels of renewable power generation require changes in investment models to deal with intermittent supply. We present a Markov decision problem that can be used to model thermal plant operation with intermittent demand, and show how this can be incorporated into a mixed integer programming model for optimally choosing investments. The model is extended to deal with staging investment over long planning horizons.

[1]  Bryan Palmintier,et al.  Impact of unit commitment constraints on generation expansion planning with renewables , 2011, 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.

[2]  Sonja Wogrin,et al.  A New Approach to Model Load Levels in Electric Power Systems With High Renewable Penetration , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[3]  Yves Smeers,et al.  Generation Capacity Expansion in a Risky Environment: A Stochastic Equilibrium Analysis , 2011, Oper. Res..

[4]  Erwin Kalvelagen BENDERS DECOMPOSITION WITH GAMS , 2005 .

[5]  C. Batlle,et al.  Impacts of Intermittent Renewables on Electricity Generation System Operation , 2012 .

[6]  B. Hobbs,et al.  Optimal Generation Mix With Short-Term Demand Response and Wind Penetration , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[7]  S. Stoft Power System Economics: Designing Markets for Electricity , 2002 .

[8]  R. Gibrat,et al.  Application of Linear Programming to Investments in the Electric Power Industry , 1957 .

[9]  Michal Kaut,et al.  Multi-horizon stochastic programming , 2014, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[10]  R. Kevin Wood,et al.  Dantzig-Wolfe Decomposition for Solving Multistage Stochastic Capacity-Planning Problems , 2009, Oper. Res..

[11]  David P. Morton,et al.  Combinatorial Design of a Stochastic Markov Decision Process , 2009 .

[12]  Carlos Batlle López,et al.  An enhanced screening curves method for considering thermal cycling operation costs in generation expansion planning , 2013 .

[13]  P. Joskow Competitive Electricity Markets and Investment in New Generating Capacity , 2006 .

[14]  Martin L. Puterman,et al.  Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming , 1994 .

[15]  Benjamin F. Hobbs,et al.  Open versus closed loop capacity equilibria in electricity markets under perfect and oligopolistic competition , 2013, Math. Program..

[16]  Karsten Neuhoff,et al.  Comparison of feed-in tariff, quota and auction mechanisms to support wind power development , 2008 .