Modeling Longitudinal Data with Application to Educational and Psychological Measurement

I review a class of models for longitudinal data, showing how it may be applied in a meaningful way for the analysis of data collected by the administration of a series of items finalized to the educational or psychological measurement. In this class of models, the unobserved individual characteristics of interest are represented by a sequence of discrete latent variables, which follows a Markov chain. Inferential problems involved in the application of these models are discussed considering, in particular, maximum likelihood estimation based on the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, model selection, and hypothesis testing. Most of these problems are common to hidden Markov models for time-series data. The approach is illustrated by different applications in education and psychology.

[1]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  Latent Markov Models for Longitudinal Data , 2012 .

[2]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  Likelihood inference for the latent Markov Rasch model , 2010 .

[3]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  Assessment of School Performance Through a Multilevel Latent Markov Rasch Model , 2009, 0909.4961.

[4]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  Latent Markov model for longitudinal binary data: An application to the performance evaluation of nursing homes , 2009, 0908.2300.

[5]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  Multidimensional Latent Markov Models in a Developmental Study of Inhibitory Control and Attentional Flexibility in Early Childhood , 2008, 0901.0024.

[6]  G. Molenberghs,et al.  Longitudinal data analysis , 2008 .

[7]  Francesco Bartolucci,et al.  A latent Markov model for detecting patterns of criminal activity , 2007 .

[8]  Haikady N. Nagaraja,et al.  Inference in Hidden Markov Models , 2006, Technometrics.

[9]  F. Bartolucci Likelihood inference for a class of latent Markov models under linear hypotheses on the transition probabilities , 2006 .

[10]  Athanasios C. Micheas,et al.  Constrained Statistical Inference: Inequality, Order, and Shape Restrictions , 2006 .

[11]  Patrick J. Heagerty Analysis of Longitudinal Data , 2003 .

[12]  G. Celeux,et al.  An entropy criterion for assessing the number of clusters in a mixture model , 1996 .

[13]  Scott Menard,et al.  Multiple Problem Youth: Delinquency, Substance Use, and Mental Health Problems , 1991 .

[14]  Biing-Hwang Juang,et al.  Hidden Markov Models for Speech Recognition , 1991 .

[15]  A. Shapiro Towards a unified theory of inequality constrained testing in multivariate analysis , 1988 .

[16]  K. Liang,et al.  Asymptotic Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators and Likelihood Ratio Tests under Nonstandard Conditions , 1987 .

[17]  G. Schwarz Estimating the Dimension of a Model , 1978 .

[18]  D. Rubin,et al.  Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM - algorithm plus discussions on the paper , 1977 .

[19]  Otis Dudley Duncan,et al.  Panel Analysis: Latent Probability Models for Attitude and Behavior Processes. , 1975 .

[20]  Lee Manning Wiggins,et al.  Panel analysis : Latent probability models for attitude and behavior processes , 1974 .

[21]  L. Baum,et al.  A Maximization Technique Occurring in the Statistical Analysis of Probabilistic Functions of Markov Chains , 1970 .

[22]  F. Samejima Estimation of latent ability using a response pattern of graded scores , 1968 .

[23]  Andrew J. Viterbi,et al.  Error bounds for convolutional codes and an asymptotically optimum decoding algorithm , 1967, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[24]  W. Zucchini,et al.  Hidden Markov Models for Time Series – An Introduction Using R , 2011 .

[25]  K Shimmon,et al.  The development of executive control in young children and its relationship with mental-state understanding : a longitudinal study. , 2004 .

[26]  Fumiko Samejima,et al.  EVALUATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR ORDERED POLYCHOTOMOUS RESPONSES , 1996 .

[27]  F. Krauss Latent Structure Analysis , 1980 .

[28]  H. Akaike,et al.  Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle , 1973 .

[29]  G. Rasch On General Laws and the Meaning of Measurement in Psychology , 1961 .

[30]  S. Beucher,et al.  Main References , 2022 .