Scientific Information, Social Values, and Policy Formation: The Application of Simulation Models and Judgment Analysis to the Denver Regional Air Pollution Problem

Attempts to bring scientific information into social policymaking are frequently characterized by a number of problems and weaknesses that lead to ineffective use of such information. The symmetrical linkage system (SLS) is suggested as a method for improving the integration of scientific information with social values in forming social policy. The central features of the SLS are a) the separate treatment of scientific issues and social value issues through the construction of quantitative models describing each, and b) the analytical integration of scientific information and social values through the linkage of these two types of models. The development of a prototypical SLS for a metropolitan air pollution problem is described.

[1]  Kenneth R. Hammond,et al.  Entangled task dismensions: An impediment to interpersonal learning , 1974 .

[2]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgment. , 1971 .

[3]  John J. DeLuisi,et al.  Spectral absorption of solar radiation by the denver brown (pollution) cloud , 1977 .

[4]  J. Rohrbaugh,et al.  1 – SOCIAL JUDGMENT THEORY: APPLICATIONS IN POLICY FORMATION , 1977 .

[5]  E W BURT A study of the relation of visibility to air pollution. , 1961, American Industrial Hygiene Association journal.

[6]  K Willeke,et al.  Size distributions of Denver aerosols--a comparison of two sites. , 1974, Atmospheric environment.

[7]  W. Balke An Alternate Approach to Labor-Management Relations. , 1973 .

[8]  S. C. Johnson Hierarchical clustering schemes , 1967, Psychometrika.

[9]  K. T. Whitby,et al.  Comparison of volume and mass distributions for denver aerosols , 1975 .

[10]  B. Brehmer Social Judgment Theory and the Analysis of Interpersonal Conflict. , 1976 .

[11]  R. Dawes,et al.  Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .

[12]  H. J. Einhorn The use of nonlinear, noncompensatory models in decision making. , 1970, Psychological bulletin.

[13]  Morgan Mg,et al.  Bad science and good policy analysis. , 1978 .

[14]  Lewis R. Goldberg,et al.  Five models of clinical judgment: An empirical comparison between linear and nonlinear representations of the human inference process , 1971 .

[15]  G. Hardin,et al.  The Tragedy of the Commons , 1968, Green Planet Blues.

[16]  Kenneth R. Hammond,et al.  Formation of Social Policy , 1979 .

[17]  Kenneth R. Hammond,et al.  Linking Environmental Models with Models of Human Judgment: A Symmetrical Decision Aid , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.