Habitat Suitability and Distribution Pattern Response to Global Climate Change in a Widespread Species, the Asiatic Toad ( Bufo gargarizans )

The distribution and diversity of the species are closely related to the global climate. As the most widely distributed species of Bufonidae in China, the study of the distribution pattern and habitat suitability of the Asiatic toad under climate change can help us understand the reply pattern of Bufonidae habitat to climate change. Here, combined with the Maxent model and GIS technology, the effects of climate change on the distribution pattern and habitat suitability of the Asiatic toad were comprehensively analyzed. The results show that the rainfall during the wettest season (Bio16) and the mean temperature of the driest season (Bio9) have a considerable impact on the distribution of the Asiatic toad. In the next 30 to 50 years, across the overall spacial scale of the Chinese mainland, the habitat of the Asiatic toad will be primarily in the eastern part of China and less in south part, while its distribution area will expand to the midwest and northwest parts of China. Overall, the area in which it can be distributed will be reduced and suitable habitat will shift to some regions of higher latitude and elevation. In a word, we systematically analyzed the changes of the distribution pattern and habitat suitability of the Asiatic toad with climate change, and we aim to provide data on how climatic variation may impact amphibians

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