Initial State Space Approach to Analysis in Studies Using AMSWAG

Abstract : This study presents the development and use of a surrogate model for estimating wargame outcomes from only the specification of the conditions, or initial 'state', which exists at the start of the engagement. The methodology has been found useful in real world problems in the fields of medicine, chemistry, etc. It is based upon a multivariate regression or response surface approach although some additional refining techniques such as cluster analysis are also used. The utility of the current results and areas for future work are discussed.