The existence and extent of örst mover advantages on spatial networks

ăis paper examines the nature of đrst-mover advantages in the deployment of spatially differentiated surface transport networks. A number of factors explaining the existence of đrst-mover advantages have been identiđed in the literature; however, the questions of whether these factors exist in spatial networks, and of how they play out with true capital immobility have remained unanswered. By examining em- pirical examples of commuter rail and the Underground in London, đrst-mover advantage is observed and its sources explored. A model of network diffusion is then constructed to replicate the growth of surface transport networks, making it possible to analyze đrst-mover advantage in a controlled environment. Simulation experiments are conducted, and Spearman rank correlation tests reveal that đrst-mover advantages can exist in a surface transport network and can become increasingly prominent as the network expands. In addition, the analysis discloses that the extent of đrst-mover advantages may relate to the initial land use distribution and network redundancy. ăe sensitivity of simulation results to model parameters are also examined.

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