Wind energy generation technological paradigm diffusion

This paper investigates the role of the technological paradigm for the development of wind energy technology, and aims to contribute towards recommendations on technology policy and management. The paradigmatic research was conducted using a novel data analysis system (DAS) and a wind energy generation technological diffusion mathematical model. The wind energy generation technological paradigm (WEGTP) composed of paradigm competition, diffusion and shift was established to explain the technological changes in the use of wind energy. Simulation results show that the development of installed capacity for wind energy generation has a strong inertia force along with the S-curve. Global annual installed wind capacity reached a peak in 2012 and is estimated to be saturated by 2030. Hybrid wind and solar energy generation technology appeared to be more promising than wind energy technologies that rely only on onshore or offshore winds. To further accelerate wind energy development, specific subsidies and incentives need to be provided in areas such as capital costs and technological support.

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