Spectral biases in tree-ring climate proxies

Seamless quantification of past and present climate variability is needed to understand the Earth’s climate well enough to make accurate predictions for the future. This study addresses whether tree-ring-dominated proxy data properly represent the frequency spectrum of true climate variability. The results challenge the validity of detection and attribution investigations based on these data.

[1]  J. M. Mitchell,et al.  An Overview of Climatic Variability and its Causal Mechanisms , 1976, Quaternary Research.

[2]  Donald B. Percival,et al.  Spectral Analysis for Physical Applications , 1993 .

[3]  Benjamin D. Santer,et al.  Estimates of low frequency natural variabilit in near-surface air temperature , 1996 .

[4]  J. Pelletier.  The power spectral density of atmospheric temperature from time scales of 10−2 to 106 yr , 1998 .

[5]  Edward R. Cook,et al.  Low-Frequency Signals in Long Tree-Ring Chronologies for Reconstructing Past Temperature Variability , 2002, Science.

[6]  M. Collins,et al.  A Comparison of the Variability of a Climate Model with Paleotemperature Estimates from a Network of Tree-Ring Densities. , 2002 .

[7]  Andrew Wilson.  Solar variability as an input to the Earth's environment , 2003 .

[8]  Klaus Fraedrich,et al.  Scaling of atmosphere and ocean temperature correlations in observations and climate models. , 2003, Physical review letters.

[9]  K. Briffa,et al.  Climate. The real color of climate change? , 2004, Science.

[10]  Dennis J. Blasko.  Shooting at a Moving Target , 2004 .

[11]  Keith R. Briffa,et al.  The Real Color of Climate Change? , 2004, Science.

[12]  D. Frank,et al.  Growth/climate response shift in a long subalpine spruce chronology , 2005, Trees.

[13]  T. D. Mitchell,et al.  An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high‐resolution grids , 2005 .

[14]  Peter Huybers,et al.  Links between annual, Milankovitch and continuum temperature variability , 2005, Nature.

[15]  Jonathan M. Gregory,et al.  The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550 , 2006 .

[16]  David Frank,et al.  Warmer early instrumental measurements versus colder reconstructed temperatures: shooting at a moving target , 2007 .

[17]  H. Wanner,et al.  A European pattern climatology 1766–2000 , 2007 .

[18]  Anders Moberg,et al.  Analysis of the Moberg et al. (2005) hemispheric temperature reconstruction , 2008 .

[19]  F. Karlsson,et al.  Shooting on a moving target , 2008 .

[20]  P. Jones,et al.  The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project , 2009 .

[21]  Eduardo Zorita,et al.  Assessment of three temperature reconstruction methods in the virtual reality of a climate simulation , 2009 .

[22]  E. Mosley‐Thompson,et al.  High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospects , 2009 .

[23]  G. Faluvegi,et al.  Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly , 2009, Science.

[24]  E. Zorita,et al.  A noodle, hockey stick, and spaghetti plate: a perspective on high‐resolution paleoclimatology , 2010 .

[25]  T. Stocker,et al.  Variations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in control and transient simulations of the last millennium , 2010 .

[26]  Michele Brunetti,et al.  The early instrumental warm-bias: a solution for long central European temperature series 1760–2007 , 2010 .

[27]  P. Jones,et al.  Multi‐centennial summer and winter precipitation variability in southern South America , 2010 .

[28]  Heinrich Widmann,et al.  Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium , 2010 .

[29]  Q. Schiermeier.  The real holes in climate science , 2010, Nature.

[30]  D. A. Christie,et al.  Multiproxy summer and winter surface air temperature field reconstructions for southern South America covering the past centuries , 2011 .

[31]  Jörg Franke,et al.  An ensemble-based approach to climate reconstructions , 2012 .

[32]  Ted Munn,et al.  Encyclopedia of global environmental change , 2013 .