Critiques of PVA Ask the Wrong Questions: Throwing the Heuristic Baby Out with the Numerical Bath Water

*Key Centre for Tropical Wildlife Management, Northern Territory University, Darwin, Northern Territory 0909, Australia†School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria 3052, Australia‡Applied Biomathematics, 100 North Country Road, Setauket, NY 11733, U.S.A.§Key Centre for Biodiversity and Bioresources, Macquarie University, New South Wales 2109, Australia

[1]  H. Akçakaya,et al.  Assessing human impact despite uncertainty:viability of the northern spotted owl metapopulation in the northwestern USA , 1998, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[2]  G. White.  Population Viability Analysis , 1996 .

[3]  D. Ludwig.  Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction , 1999 .

[4]  J. Gaillard,et al.  Temporal Variation in Fitness Components and Population Dynamics of Large Herbivores , 2000 .

[5]  G. Mace,et al.  Attitudes toward Sustainability and Extinction , 1999 .

[6]  H. Caswell.  Matrix population models : construction, analysis, and interpretation , 2001 .

[7]  H. Akçakaya,et al.  Population viability analyses in conservation planning : an overview , 2004 .

[8]  T Coulson,et al.  The use and abuse of population viability analysis. , 2001, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[9]  Katherine J. LaJeunesse Connette,et al.  Conservation Biology , 2009, The Quarterly review of biology.

[10]  T. Clutton‐Brock,et al.  Population viability analyses on a cycling population: a cautionary tale , 2001 .

[11]  G. Janauer.  Ecohydrology: fusing concepts and scales , 2000 .

[12]  Amy W. Ando,et al.  On the Use of Demographic Models of Population Viability in Endangered Species Management , 1998 .

[13]  R. Zeckhauser,et al.  Risk within reason. , 1990, Science.

[14]  H. Resit Akçakaya,et al.  Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology , 2000, Nature.

[15]  A. Harcourt,et al.  Population Viability Estimates: Theory and Practice for a Wild Gorilla Population , 1995 .

[16]  Stephen P. Ellner,et al.  When is it meaningful to estimate an extinction probability , 2000 .

[17]  B. Taylor,et al.  The Reliability of Using Population Viability Analysis for Risk Classification of Species , 1995 .

[18]  Stephen P. Ellner,et al.  Precision of Population Viability Analysis , 2002, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.