The influence of time-dependent delay on behavior of stochastic population model with the Allee effect

Abstract This paper presents the analysis of behavior of stochastic time-dependent delay population model with the Allee effect. We prove the existence-and-uniqueness of positive solution of considered model. Then, we find the sufficient conditions under which the population will become extinct. We also show that if the initial population size exceeds environmental carrying capacity and time delay is sufficiently long, considered population is non-persistent in mean. The sufficient conditions for asymptotical mean square stability and stability in probability of the positive equilibrium states of the model, in terms of Lyapunov functional method, are obtained. Finally, as an illustration, we apply our mathematical results and predict time which a population of the African wild dog Lycaon pictus needs to reach it is equilibrium states, and also confirm that population of brown tree snake Boiga irregularis is non-persistent in mean if the initial population size is greater than carrying capacity and time delay is long enough.

[1]  W. C. Allee Animal Aggregations: A Study in General Sociology , 1931 .

[2]  V. Kolmanovskii,et al.  Stability of Functional Differential Equations , 1986 .

[3]  X. Mao,et al.  Stochastic Differential Equations and Applications , 1998 .

[4]  Kimberly Burnett,et al.  Beyond the lamppost: Optimal prevention and control of the Brown Tree Snake in Hawaii , 2008 .

[5]  Leonid Shaikhet,et al.  Stability in probability of nonlinear stochastic systems with delay , 1995 .

[6]  Leonid Shaikhet,et al.  STABILITY OF A POSITIVE POINT OF EQUILIBRIUM OF ONE NONLINEAR SYSTEM WITH AFTEREFFECT AND STOCHASTIC PERTURBATIONS , 2008 .

[7]  O. Duman,et al.  Stability analysis of continuous population model involving predation and Allee effect , 2009 .

[8]  Azmy S. Ackleh,et al.  Establishing a beachhead: a stochastic population model with an Allee effect applied to species invasion. , 2007, Theoretical population biology.

[9]  Jordi Bascompte,et al.  The Allee effect, stochastic dynamics and the eradication of alien species , 2003 .

[10]  V. B. Kolmanovskii,et al.  Construction of lyapunov functionals for stochastic hereditary systems: a survey of some recent results , 2002 .

[11]  J. Savidge,et al.  Reproductive Biology of the Brown Tree Snake, Boiga irregularis (Reptilia: Colubridae), during Colonization of Guam and Comparison with That in Their Native Range1 , 2007 .

[12]  Leonid E. Shaikhet Some New Aspects of Lyapunov-Type Theorems for Stochastic Differential Equations of Neutral Type , 2010, SIAM J. Control. Optim..

[13]  V. B. Kolmanovskii,et al.  Stability of epidemic model with time delays influenced by stochastic perturbations 1 This paper was , 1998 .

[14]  Thomas G. Hallam,et al.  Effects of parameter fluctuations on community survival , 1987 .

[15]  Miljana Jovanovic,et al.  On stochastic population model with the Allee effect , 2010, Math. Comput. Model..

[16]  Grenfell,et al.  Inverse density dependence and the Allee effect. , 1999, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[17]  T. Hallam,et al.  Persistence in population models with demographic fluctuations , 1986, Journal of Mathematical Biology.

[18]  Bryan T. Grenfell,et al.  Multipack dynamics and the Allee effect in the African wild dog, Lycaon pictus , 2000 .

[19]  Yanan Zhao,et al.  Existence, uniqueness, and global stability of positive solutions to the food-limited population model with random perturbation , 2005, Math. Comput. Model..

[20]  Donal O'Regan,et al.  Existence, uniqueness, stochastic persistence and global stability of positive solutions of the logistic equation with random perturbation , 2007 .

[21]  Daqing Jiang,et al.  A note on asymptotic behaviors of stochastic population model with Allee effect , 2011 .

[22]  P. Kloeden,et al.  Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations , 1992 .

[23]  O. Duman,et al.  Allee effects on population dynamics in continuous (overlapping) case , 2009 .

[24]  Leonid Shaikhet Lyapunov Functionals and Stability of Stochastic Functional Differential Equations , 2013 .

[25]  David W. Macdonald,et al.  The Encyclopedia of Mammals , 1984 .

[26]  Ke Wang,et al.  Survival analysis of stochastic single-species population models in polluted environments. , 2009 .

[27]  Chengming Huang,et al.  Stochastic Lotka–Volterra models with multiple delays , 2011 .

[28]  Ke Wang,et al.  Persistence and extinction in stochastic non-autonomous logistic systems , 2011 .