The cost of frailty in France

The objective of the present work is to explore the incremental costs of frailty associated with ambulatory health care expenditures (HCE) among the French population of community-dwellers aged 65 or more in 2012. We make use of a unique dataset that combines nationally representative health survey with respondents’ National Health Insurance data on ambulatory care expenditures. Several econometric specifications of generalized linear models are tested and an exponential model with gamma errors is eventually retained. Because frailty is a distinct health condition, its contribution to HCE was assessed in comparison with other health covariates (including chronic diseases and functional limitations, time-to-death, and a multidimensional composite health index). Results indicate that whatever health covariates are considered, frailty provides significant additional explanative power to the models. Frailty is an important omitted variable in HCE models. It depicts a progressive condition, which has an incremental effect on ambulatory health expenditures of roughly €750 additional euros for pre-frail individuals and €1500 for frail individuals.

[1]  L. Lipsitz,et al.  Validation and Comparison of Two Frailty Indexes: The MOBILIZE Boston Study , 2009, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[2]  M. Mänty,et al.  Association between Frailty and Dementia: A Population-Based Study , 2013, Gerontology.

[3]  M. Koopmanschap,et al.  Determinants of long-term care spending: age, time to death or disability? , 2011, Journal of health economics.

[4]  M. Mcclellan,et al.  Is technological change in medicine worth it? , 2001, Health affairs.

[5]  J. E. Morley,et al.  The I.A.N.A. task force on frailty assessment of older people in clinical practice , 2008, The journal of nutrition, health & aging.

[6]  J. Copas Regression, Prediction and Shrinkage , 1983 .

[7]  D. Pregibon Goodness of Link Tests for Generalized Linear Models , 1980 .

[8]  J. Leung,et al.  Multi-morbidity, dependency, and frailty singly or in combination have different impact on health outcomes , 2013, AGE.

[9]  J. Robine,et al.  Aging and health in France: an unexpected expansion of disability in mid-adulthood over recent years. , 2013, European journal of public health.

[10]  L. Fried,et al.  Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype. , 2001, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[11]  Alastair Gray,et al.  Ageing and health-care expenditure: the red herring argument revisited. , 2004, Health economics.

[12]  F. Blyth,et al.  Frailty and use of health and community services by community-dwelling older men: the Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project. , 2010, Age and ageing.

[13]  J. Lynn Reliable and sustainable comprehensive care for frail elderly people. , 2013, JAMA.

[14]  W. Strawbridge,et al.  Antecedents of frailty over three decades in an older cohort. , 1998, The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences.

[15]  S. Felder,et al.  Ageing of population and health care expenditure: a red herring? , 1999, Health economics.

[16]  A. Basu,et al.  Estimating marginal and incremental effects on health outcomes using flexible link and variance function models. , 2005, Biostatistics.

[17]  D. Cutler,et al.  Declining disability among the elderly. , 2001, Health affairs.

[18]  G. François,et al.  Health-care and home-care utilization among frail elderly persons in Belgium. , 2012, European journal of public health.

[19]  David W. Hosmer,et al.  Applied Logistic Regression , 1991 .

[20]  Stefano Calciolari,et al.  The patterns of health care utilization by elderly Europeans: frailty and its implications for health systems. , 2015, Health services research.

[21]  K. Warner,et al.  The lifetime distribution of health care costs. , 2004, Health services research.

[22]  B. L. Beattie,et al.  Frailty in elderly people: an evolving concept. , 1994, CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne.

[23]  F. Blyth,et al.  High‐Risk Prescribing and Incidence of Frailty Among Older Community‐Dwelling Men , 2012, Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics.

[24]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  Untangling the concepts of disability, frailty, and comorbidity: implications for improved targeting and care. , 2004, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[25]  Bonnie K. Lind,et al.  Physical disability in older adults: a physiological approach. Cardiovascular Health Study Research Group. , 1994, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[26]  Robert F Schoeni,et al.  Trends in disability and related chronic conditions among people ages fifty to sixty-four. , 2010, Health affairs.

[27]  R. Kenny,et al.  Sedative load and frailty among community-dwelling population aged ≥65 years. , 2015, Journal of the American Medical Directors Association.

[28]  M. Arfan Ikram,et al.  Adverse outcomes of frailty in the elderly: the Rotterdam Study , 2014, European Journal of Epidemiology.

[29]  Stefan Felder,et al.  Population ageing and health care expenditure: a school of 'red herrings'? , 2007, Health economics.

[30]  J. Spagnoli,et al.  Prevalence of frailty in middle-aged and older community-dwelling Europeans living in 10 countries. , 2009, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[31]  Baoping Shang,et al.  Disability and health care spending among medicare beneficiaries. , 2005, Health affairs.