The nested structural organization of the worldwide trade multi-layer network

Nestedness has traditionally been used to detect assembly patterns in meta-communities and networks of interacting species. Attempts have also been made to uncover nested structures in international trade, typically represented as bipartite networks in which connections can be established between countries (exporters or importers) and industries. A bipartite representation of trade, however, inevitably neglects transactions between industries. To fully capture the organization of the global value chain, we draw on the World Input-Output Database and construct a multi-layer network in which the nodes are the countries, the layers are the industries, and links can be established from sellers to buyers within and across industries. We define the buyers’ and sellers’ participation matrices in which the rows are the countries and the columns are all possible pairs of industries, and then compute nestedness based on buyers’ and sellers’ involvement in transactions between and within industries. Drawing on appropriate null models that preserve the countries’ or layers’ degree distributions in the original multi-layer network, we uncover variations of country- and transaction-based nestedness over time, and identify the countries and industries that most contributed to nestedness. We discuss the implications of our findings for the study of the international production network and other real-world systems.

[1]  Carsten F. Dormann,et al.  Indices, Graphs and Null Models: Analyzing Bipartite Ecological Networks , 2009 .

[2]  Samuel Johnson,et al.  Factors Determining Nestedness in Complex Networks , 2013, PloS one.

[3]  Serguei Saavedra,et al.  Strong contributors to network persistence are the most vulnerable to extinction , 2011, Nature.

[4]  Robert Tibshirani,et al.  An Introduction to the Bootstrap , 1994 .

[5]  César A. Hidalgo,et al.  The Dynamics of Nestedness Predicts the Evolution of Industrial Ecosystems , 2012, PloS one.

[6]  Carlos J. Melián,et al.  The nested assembly of plant–animal mutualistic networks , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[7]  César A. Hidalgo,et al.  The Product Space Conditions the Development of Nations , 2007, Science.

[8]  Wirt Atmar,et al.  The measure of order and disorder in the distribution of species in fragmented habitat , 1993, Oecologia.

[9]  Colin Fontaine,et al.  Stability of Ecological Communities and the Architecture of Mutualistic and Trophic Networks , 2010, Science.

[10]  Kusum W. Ketkar,et al.  Environmental protection policies and the structure of the US economy , 1984 .

[11]  Stefano Allesina,et al.  The ghost of nestedness in ecological networks , 2013, Nature Communications.

[12]  Ginestra Bianconi,et al.  Weighted Multiplex Networks , 2013, PloS one.

[13]  Andrea Gabrielli,et al.  Randomizing bipartite networks: the case of the World Trade Web , 2015, Scientific Reports.

[14]  Wassily Leontief,et al.  The Structure of the U.S. Economy , 1965 .

[15]  Guido Caldarelli,et al.  Measuring the Intangibles: A Metrics for the Economic Complexity of Countries and Products , 2013, PloS one.

[16]  Pietro Panzarasa,et al.  Countries’ positions in the international global value networks: Centrality and economic performance , 2017, Appl. Netw. Sci..

[17]  Serguei Saavedra,et al.  A simple model of bipartite cooperation for ecological and organizational networks , 2009, Nature.

[18]  Mason A. Porter,et al.  Multilayer networks , 2013, J. Complex Networks.

[19]  Dima Shepelyansky,et al.  Ecological analysis of world trade , 2012, ArXiv.

[20]  D. Garlaschelli,et al.  Reconstructing the world trade multiplex: the role of intensive and extensive biases. , 2014, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[21]  M. A. Muñoz,et al.  Ranking species in mutualistic networks , 2015, Scientific Reports.

[22]  Daniel B. Stouffer,et al.  Nestedness versus modularity in ecological networks: two sides of the same coin? , 2010, The Journal of animal ecology.

[23]  Wirt Atmar,et al.  Nested subsets and the structure of insular mammalian faunas and archipelagos , 1986 .

[24]  Yves Zenou,et al.  Nestedness in Networks: A Theoretical Model and Someapplications , 2012 .

[25]  E. Dietzenbacher,et al.  An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: The Case of Global Automotive Production , 2015 .

[26]  Jordi Bascompte,et al.  The architecture of mutualistic networks minimizes competition and increases biodiversity , 2009, Nature.

[27]  Z. Wang,et al.  The structure and dynamics of multilayer networks , 2014, Physics Reports.

[28]  S. T. Buckland,et al.  An Introduction to the Bootstrap. , 1994 .

[29]  Werner Ulrich,et al.  A consistent metric for nestedness analysis in ecological systems: reconciling concept and measurement , 2008 .

[30]  A. Tversky Features of Similarity , 1977 .

[31]  L. Pietronero,et al.  How the Taxonomy of Products Drives the Economic Development of Countries , 2014, PloS one.