Crisis Management: Analyzing Default Risk and Liquidity Demand during Financial Stress

This paper shows that strategies in, and reliance on the payments system as well as special liquidity-supplying tools provided by the central bank are important indicators of distress of individual banks. We conclude that central banks can benefit from using high-frequency data on liquidity demand to obtain a better picture of the financial health of individual participants of the financial system. For the particular case of Canada, using unique features of the payments system and information from the liquidity facilities we find that the willingness-to-pay for liquidity during the financial crisis stayed at low levels throughout the Canadian financial system and that there was no increase in counterparty risk. A key lesson of our analysis is that transactions-level data can be be valuable in determining the appropriate response of regulators and central banks to a financial crisis.