A Framework for Sensitivity Analysis in Spatial Multiple Criteria Evaluation

The paper presents a framework for sensitivity analysis (SA) in spatial multiple criteria evaluation (S-MCE). The framework focuses on three aspects of S-MCE: spatiality, scope, and cardinality. Spatiality stresses the importance of spatial criteria and spatial weights that should be explicitly considered in GIS-based MCE. Scope relates to the extent of SA, ranging from local one-at-a-time criterion examination to global testing of interdependencies among the multiple criteria model components. Cardinality addresses the duality of motivation for performing SA, namely, single-user learning and group consensus building. The framework organizes the existing SA techniques according to spatiality and scope and can be used as a conceptual guide in selecting SA techniques fitting a task at hand.

[1]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Building Spatial Decision Support Tools for Individuals and Groups , 2003, J. Decis. Syst..

[2]  Piet Rietveld,et al.  Spatial Dimensions in Multicriteria Analysis , 2019, Spatial Multicriteria Decision Making and Analysis.

[3]  David J. Maguire,et al.  Geographical information systems : principles and applications , 1991 .

[4]  Weldon A. Lodwick,et al.  Attribute error and sensitivity analysis of map operations in geographical informations systems: suitability analysis , 1990, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[5]  Luis A. Bojórquez-Tapia,et al.  Building Consensus in Environmental Impact Assessment Through Multicriteria Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis , 2005, Environmental management.

[6]  Jacek Malczewski,et al.  GIS‐based multicriteria decision analysis: a survey of the literature , 2006, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[7]  Robert G Cromley,et al.  Modeling Situation Factors Used in MCE Procedures for Raster GIS , 2006, Trans. GIS.

[8]  Helen Couclelis.  Requirements for planning-relevant GIS: A spatial perspective , 1991 .

[9]  Nigel Taylor,et al.  Mistaken Interests and the Discourse Model of Planning , 1998 .

[10]  Christopher J. Brookes,et al.  A Parameterized Region-Growing Programme for Site Allocation on Raster Suitability Maps , 1997, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[11]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Spatial Group Choice: A SDSS Tool for Collaborative Spatial Decision-Making , 1997, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[12]  Evangelos Triantaphyllou,et al.  A Sensitivity Analysis Approach for MCDM Methods , 2000 .

[13]  Claus Rinner,et al.  The Spatial Dimensions of Multi-Criteria Evaluation - Case Study of a Home Buyer's Spatial Decision Support System , 2006, GIScience.

[14]  David J. Pannell,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis of Normative Economic Models: Theoretical Framework and Practical Strategies , 1997 .

[15]  Miley W. Merkhofer,et al.  Assessment, Refinement, and Narrowing of Options , 1999 .

[16]  Emily Talen,et al.  Visualizing Fairness: Equity Maps for Planners , 1998 .

[17]  Paul J. Densham,et al.  Spatial decision support systems , 1991 .

[18]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Map-centred exploratory approach to multiple criteria spatial decision making , 2001, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[19]  Robert J Lempert,et al.  A new decision sciences for complex systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[20]  Evangelos Triantaphyllou,et al.  Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods: A Comparative Study , 2000 .

[21]  Simon French,et al.  Comparison study of multi-attribute decision analytic software , 2005 .

[22]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  A role for sensitivity analysis in presenting the results from MCDA studies to decision makers , 1999 .

[23]  Theodor J. Stewart,et al.  Multiple criteria decision analysis - an integrated approach , 2001 .

[24]  Michael Batty,et al.  GIS, spatial analysis, and modeling , 2005 .

[25]  Steven C Bankes,et al.  Tools and techniques for developing policies for complex and uncertain systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[26]  A. Getis,et al.  Constructing the Spatial Weights Matrix Using a Local Statistic , 2004 .

[27]  R. Lempert,et al.  Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis , 2003 .

[28]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models , 2004 .

[29]  David Ríos Insua,et al.  Introduction to the special issue on sensitivity analysis , 1999 .

[30]  Ernest R. Alexander,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis in Complex Decision Models , 1989 .

[31]  Simon French,et al.  A FRAMEWORK FOR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN DISCRETE MULTI OBJECTIVE DECISION MAKING , 1991 .

[32]  B. Mareschal,et al.  NOVEL TYPES OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR ANALYSIS FOR ADDITIVE MCDM METHODS , 1995 .

[33]  Keping Chen,et al.  MCE-RISK: integrating multicriteria evaluation and GIS for risk decision-making in natural hazards , 2001, Environ. Model. Softw..

[34]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  Can global sensitivity analysis steer the implementation of models for environmental assessments and decision-making? , 2002 .

[35]  Karen K. Kemp,et al.  Introducing the First Edition of Geographic Information Science and Technology Body of Knowledge , 2007 .

[36]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis: tools for GIS-based model implementation , 2001, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[37]  Joanne N. Halls.  A Spatial Sensitivity Analysis of Land Use Characteristics and Phosphorus Levels in Small Tidal Creek Estuaries of North Carolina, USA , 2002, Journal of Coastal Research.

[38]  Jacek Malczewski,et al.  GIS and Multicriteria Decision Analysis , 1999 .

[39]  G. Brent Hall,et al.  International Journal of Geographical Information Science , 2022 .

[40]  Jean-Marc Martel,et al.  A spatial decision aid: A multicriterion evaluation approach , 1996 .

[41]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  GLOBAL sensitivity analysis, GIS and multi‐criteria evaluation for a sustainable planning of a hazardous waste disposal site in Spain , 2006, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[42]  Herbert A. Simon,et al.  The new science of management decision , 1960 .

[43]  A. Saltelli,et al.  A quantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output , 1999 .

[44]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Integrating Geographical Information Systems and Multiple Criteria Decision-Making Methods , 1995, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[45]  Jon C. Helton,et al.  Guest editorial: treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems , 1996 .

[46]  J. Voogd,et al.  Multicriteria evaluation for urban and regional planning , 1982 .

[47]  Theodor J. Stewart,et al.  Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis , 2001 .

[48]  Ron Janssen,et al.  Why are spatial decision support systems not used? Some experiences from the Netherlands , 2003, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[49]  Bryan H. Massam.  The location of waste transfer stations in Ashdod, Israel, using a multi-criteria decision support system , 1991 .

[50]  Paul A. Longley,et al.  Geographical information systems : principles, techniques, management, and applications , 2005 .

[51]  Gennady L. Andrienko,et al.  Exploratory analysis of spatial and temporal data - a systematic approach , 2005 .

[52]  G. F. Hepner,et al.  A GIS-based sensitivity analysis of community vulnerability to hazardous contaminants on the Mexico/U.S. border , 1995 .

[53]  Joaquín Bosque Sendra,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis in Multicriteria Spatial Decision-Making: A Review , 2004 .

[54]  Timothy L. Nyerges,et al.  Design Considerations for an Internet Portal to Support Public Participation in Transportation Improvement Decision Making , 2006 .

[55]  Stephen J. Carver,et al.  Integrating multi-criteria evaluation with geographical information systems , 1991, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[56]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques as tools for the quality assessment of composite indicators , 2005 .