Hazard Proximity or Risk Perception? Evaluating Effects of Natural and Technological Hazards on Housing Values

Despite the substantial literature on environmental hazards' effect on residential property value, the findings are inconsistent. Little attention has been given to the relationship between hazard proximity and risk perception and their distinct roles in affecting housing values. This research proposes a multistage causal model in which the influence of hazard proximity on property value is mediated by risk perception. The model was tested for three hazards (flood, hurricane, and toxic chemicals) using data from 321 households in Harris County, Texas. The results indicate that risk perception is a mediating factor between hazard proximity and property value, but there is some evidence that the mediation is partial rather than complete. Hazard proximity can be perceived as a potential risk and an environmental amenity at the same time for certain types of hazards. These two perceptions operate in opposite directions when affecting housing value. Implications for environmental hazards disclosure policies are discussed.

[1]  T. Bunting,et al.  BEHAVIORAL AND PERCEPTION GEOGRAPHY: A CRITICAL APPRAISAL* , 1979 .

[2]  P. Shrout,et al.  Mediation in experimental and nonexperimental studies: new procedures and recommendations. , 2002, Psychological methods.

[3]  Burrell E. Montz,et al.  Hazard area disclosure in New Zealand: the impacts on residential property values in two communities , 1993 .

[4]  N. Weinstein,et al.  Agency Communication, Community Outrage, and Perception of Risk Three Simulation Experiments , 1993 .

[5]  Wing Hong Chan,et al.  The Impact of Oil and Natural Gas Facilities on Rural Residential Property , 2005 .

[6]  S. Shultz,et al.  FLOODPLAINS AND HOUSING VALUES: IMPLICATIONS FOR FLOOD MITIGATION PROJECTS 1 , 2001 .

[7]  V. Preston,et al.  Adjustment to Natural and Technological Hazards , 1983 .

[8]  Hays B. Gamble,et al.  Effects of nuclear power plants on community growth and residential property values. Final report, September 30, 1977--November 15, 1978 , 1978 .

[9]  H. Kunreuther Disaster Insurance Protection: Public Policy Lessons , 1978 .

[10]  G. William Page,et al.  Groundwater Contamination: Its Effects on Property Values and Cities , 1993 .

[11]  E. Singer,et al.  The effects of response rate changes on the index of consumer sentiment. , 2000, Public opinion quarterly.

[12]  D. E. Clark,et al.  An Interregional Hedonic Analysis of Noxious Facility Impacts on Local Wages and Property Values , 1994 .

[13]  Chris Eves,et al.  The Long Term Impact of Flooding on Residential Property Values , 2002 .

[14]  Gordon C. Rausser,et al.  Estimation of Perceived Risk and Its Effect on Property Values , 2000, Land Economics.

[15]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Price Indexes And Quality Change , 1973 .

[16]  John F. Kain,et al.  Measuring the Value of Housing Quality , 1970 .

[17]  Bruce Mitchell,et al.  IMPACT OF FLOOD HAZARD ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY VALUES IN GALT (CAMBRIDGE), ONTARIO , 1980 .

[18]  Paul Waddell,et al.  Do property values rebound from environmental stigmas? Evidence from Dallas , 1999 .

[19]  P. Shrout,et al.  Mediation in experimental and nonexperimental studies: new procedures and recommendations. , 2002, Psychological methods.

[20]  Don M. Soule,et al.  Flood Protection Benefits as Reflected in Property Value Changes , 1973 .

[21]  Jon P. Nelson,et al.  Residential choice, hedonic prices, and the demand for urban air quality , 1978 .

[22]  P. Chisnall Mail and Internet Surveys: The Tailored Design Method , 2007, Journal of Advertising Research.

[23]  J. G. Bethlehem Cross-sectional Research , 1999 .

[24]  Rae Zimmerman,et al.  THE EFFECT OF FLOOD PLAIN LOCATION ON PROPERTY VALUES: THREE TOWNS IN NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY , 1979 .

[25]  Hank C. Jenkins-Smith,et al.  Nuclear Waste Transport and Residential Property Values: Estimating the Effects of Perceived Risks , 2001 .

[26]  David S. Brookshire,et al.  A Test of the Expected Utility Model: Evidence from Earthquake Risks , 1985, Journal of Political Economy.

[27]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach , 1999 .

[28]  Neil Salkind,et al.  Encyclopedia of educational psychology , 2008 .

[29]  Daniel A. Newman Missing data techniques and low response rates: The role of systematic nonresponse parameters , 2008 .

[30]  Andrew Weyman,et al.  Exploring Comparative Ratings and Constituent Facets of Public Trust in Risk Regulatory Bodies and Related Stakeholder Groups , 2006 .

[31]  N. Bockstael,et al.  EVIDENCE OF THE EFFECTS OF WATER QUALITY ON RESIDENTIAL LAND PRICES , 2000 .

[32]  J. Speyrer,et al.  Housing prices and flood risk: An examination using spline regression , 1991 .

[33]  J. Steven Picou,et al.  Environmental justice and toxic exposure: Toward a spatial model of physical health and psychological well-being ☆ , 2007 .

[34]  R. Kasperson,et al.  The Social Amplification of Risk , 2003 .

[35]  Leonard A. Shabman,et al.  Land prices in flood hazard areas : applying methods of land value analysis , 1976 .

[36]  D. Rubinfeld,et al.  Hedonic housing prices and the demand for clean air , 1978 .

[37]  Graham A. Tobin,et al.  The flood hazard and dynamics of the urban residential land market , 1994 .

[38]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Risk Area Accuracy and Hurricane Evacuation Expectations of Coastal Residents , 2006 .

[39]  Ortwin Renn,et al.  The Social Amplification of Risk: A Conceptual Framework , 1988 .

[40]  J. Keith Gilless,et al.  Assessing the Benefits of Reducing Fire Risk in the Wildland- Urban Interface: A Contingent Valuation Approach , 1999 .

[41]  Jon P. Nelson,et al.  Three Mile Island and residential property values: empirical analysis and policy implications , 1981 .

[42]  Francis O. Adeola,et al.  Endangered Community, Enduring People , 2000 .

[43]  G. Knaap,et al.  Property values in inner‐city neighborhoods: The effects of homeownership, housing investment, and economic development , 2002 .

[44]  J. Edward Graham,et al.  Catastrophic Risk and Behavior of Residential Real Estate Market Participants , 2002 .

[45]  Yongsheng Wang,et al.  Local housing price index analysis in wind-disaster-prone areas , 2007 .

[46]  Mark Thayer,et al.  An analysis of the housing market before and after the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake , 1997 .

[47]  David L. Rumpf Your Statistical Consultant , 2000, Technometrics.

[48]  P. D. Taylor,et al.  Moderating effect of forest cover on the effect of proximity to chemical facilities on property values , 2008 .

[49]  Jamie Brown Kruse,et al.  Real Estate Market Response to Coastal Flood Hazards , 2006 .

[50]  P. Slovic Perception of risk. , 1987, Science.

[51]  Karl A. Schaefer,et al.  THE EFFECT OF FLOODPLAIN DESIGNATION/REGULATIONS ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY VALUES: A CASE STUDY IN NORTH YORK, ONTARIO , 1990 .

[52]  Gerrit Knaap,et al.  The Determinants of Residential Property Values: Implications for Metropolitan Planning , 1998 .

[53]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Household Adoption of Seismic Hazard Adjustments: A Comparison of Residents in Two States , 2000, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[54]  Keith W. Muckleston,et al.  The Impact of Floodplain Regulations on Residential Land Values in Oregon , 1983 .

[55]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Perceived Stakeholder Role Relationships and Adoption of Seismic Hazard Adjustments1 , 2007, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[56]  Gary H. McClelland,et al.  The Effect of Risk Beliefs on Property Values: A Case Study of a Hazardous Waste Site1 , 1990 .

[57]  M. Kuttschreuter Communicating environmental risk in multiethnic communities , 2005 .

[58]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Perceived Characteristics of Environmental Hazards , 1994, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[59]  A. M. FreemanIII,et al.  Hedonic Prices, Property Values and Measuring Environmental Benefits: A Survey of the Issues , 1979 .

[60]  R. Palm PUBLIC RESPONSE TO EARTHQUAKE HAZARD INFORMATION* , 1981, Annals of the Association of American Geographers.

[61]  S. Laska,et al.  Homeowner Adaptation to Flooding , 1990 .

[62]  藤田 昌久,et al.  Urban economic theory : land use and city size , 1989 .

[63]  D. Campbell,et al.  Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix. , 1959, Psychological bulletin.

[64]  Daniel A. Hagen,et al.  Environmental Hazards and Residential Property Values: Evidence from a Major Pipeline Event , 2006, Land Economics.

[65]  V. Kerry Smith,et al.  Temporal Substitution and the Recreational Value of Coastal Amenities , 1994 .

[66]  S. Polasky,et al.  Effects of Flood Hazards on Property Values: Evidence Before and After Hurricane Floyd , 2004, Land Economics.

[67]  S. Rosen Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition , 1974, Journal of Political Economy.

[68]  Robbin R. Hough,et al.  Nuclear Power Plants and the Value of Agricultural Land , 1991 .

[69]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  How Close Is Close Enough: Public Perceptions of the Risks of Industrial Facilities , 1983 .

[70]  Greg T. Smersh,et al.  Environmental Determinants of Housing Prices: The Impact of Flood Zone Status , 2001 .

[71]  R M Groves,et al.  Consequences of reducing nonresponse in a national telephone survey. , 2000, Public opinion quarterly.

[72]  Michael K Lindell,et al.  Households' Perceived Personal Risk and Responses in a Multihazard Environment , 2008, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[73]  D. Mileti,et al.  The Causal Sequence of Risk Communication in the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment , 1992 .

[74]  Austin Troy,et al.  Assessing the price effects of flood hazard disclosure under the California natural hazard disclosure law (AB 1195) , 2004 .

[75]  David E. Clark,et al.  The Effect of Decisions About Spent Nuclear Fuel Storage on Residential Property Values , 1997 .

[76]  M. Lindell,et al.  Household Adjustment to Earthquake Hazard , 2000 .

[77]  Hays B. Gamble,et al.  EFFECTS OF NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY VALUES , 1982 .

[78]  Jamie Brown Kruse,et al.  Valuing Mitigation: Real Estate Market Response to Hurricane Loss Reduction Measures , 2002 .

[79]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Risk Area Accuracy and Evacuation from Hurricane Bret , 2004 .

[80]  Richard Bernknopf,et al.  Earthquake and volcano hazard notices: An economic evaluation of changes in risk perceptions , 1990 .

[81]  Mary Luanne Napton,et al.  Polluted Neighborhoods in Texas , 1992 .