Updating the reliability of concrete structures subjected to carbonation

Due to the existence of uncertainties associated with mechanical properties, geometric configuration, loadings, and imperfect knowledge associated with the evaluations and predictions of material deterioration, probabilistic methods have been applied in the design and performance assessment of concrete structures to quantify these unavoidable uncertainties. This paper presents an approach for improving the accuracy in the life-cycle reliability assessment of reinforced concrete (RC) structures subjected to the carbonation by the Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS). Using SMCS, multiple random variables related to observation information can be updated simultaneously, even if non-Gaussian random variables are involved and relationships between the observation information and random variables are nonlinear. The effect of the magnitude of inspected carbonation depth on the updated estimates of reliability associated with the occurrence of steel corrosion is discussed in this paper.

[1]  N. Gordon,et al.  Novel approach to nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation , 1993 .

[2]  Neil J. Gordon,et al.  A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking , 2002, IEEE Trans. Signal Process..

[3]  G. Kitagawa Monte Carlo Filter and Smoother for Non-Gaussian Nonlinear State Space Models , 1996 .

[4]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Life-Cycle Performance of Structural Systems under Uncertainty , 2014 .

[5]  Ki Yong Ann,et al.  Service life prediction of a concrete bridge structure subjected to carbonation , 2010 .

[6]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Integration of the effects of airborne chlorides into reliability-based durability design of reinforced concrete structures in a marine environment , 2012, Structures and Infrastructure Systems.

[7]  Kuang-Yen Liu,et al.  Life-cycle evaluation of deteriorated structural performance of neutralised reinforced concrete bridges , 2010 .

[8]  Branko Ristic,et al.  Beyond the Kalman Filter: Particle Filters for Tracking Applications , 2004 .

[9]  E. Vesikari,et al.  Durability Design of Concrete Structures , 2004 .

[10]  Takafumi Noguchi,et al.  Optimal Maintenance Plan for RC Members by Minimizing Life-Cycle Cost Including Deterioration Risk Due to Carbonation , 2008 .

[11]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Reliability of Reinforced Concrete Girders Under Corrosion Attack , 1997 .

[12]  Bruce R. Ellingwood,et al.  Risk-informed condition assessment of civil infrastructure: state of practice and research issues , 2005 .

[13]  AH-S Ang,et al.  Modeling and analysis of uncertainties for risk-informed decisions in infrastructures engineering , 2005 .