The choice of technology intelligence methods in multinationals: towards a contingency approach

The effectiveness of technology management is fundamentally influenced by the quality of a firm's technology intelligence process, i.e. the acquisition and assessment of information on technological trends. Although there is a vast literature on different technology intelligence methods, there is a lack of research on the factors influencing the choice of appropriate technology intelligence methods in a specific situation. This paper presents the results of an exploratory case study research in 25 leading European and North American companies in the pharmaceutical, telecommunications equipment and automobile/machinery industries. Major contingency factors of the selection of technology intelligence methods in multinationals are identified and integrated into a contingency-based framework for the use of technology intelligence methods.

[1]  Guido Reger,et al.  Technology Foresight in Companies: From an Indicator to a Network and Process Perspective , 2001, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[2]  Steven P. Schnaars,et al.  Megamistakes: Forecasting and the Myth of Rapid Technological Change, Steven P. Schnaars. 1988. Free Press. 224 pages. ISBN: 0-02-927952-6. $19.95 , 1989 .

[3]  R. Daft,et al.  Chief executive scanning, environmental characteristics, and company performance: An empirical study , 1988 .

[4]  Earl Clark Joseph A study of the differences in usage of technological forecasting methods in the strategic management of research and development in high technology firms , 1982 .

[5]  R. Yin Case Study Research: Design and Methods , 1984 .

[6]  Nigel Meade,et al.  Technological Forecasting-Model Selection, Model Stability, and Combining Models , 1998 .

[7]  Alan R. Dennis,et al.  Rethinking media richness: towards a theory of media synchronicity , 1999, Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Hawaii International Conference on Systems Sciences. 1999. HICSS-32. Abstracts and CD-ROM of Full Papers.

[8]  Ann Langley,et al.  Between 'Paralysis by Analysis' and 'Extinction by Instinct' , 1995 .

[9]  A Langley,et al.  In search of rationality: the purposes behind the use of formal analysis in organizations. , 1989, Administrative science quarterly.

[10]  Pascal Savioz,et al.  Technology Intelligence: Concept Design and Implementation in Technology Based Sme's , 2003 .

[11]  Francis Narin,et al.  Technology indicators in strategic planning , 1992 .

[12]  K. Jantke Planning for Learning , 2020, The Power of Assessment for Learning: Twenty Years of Research and Practice in UK and US Classrooms.

[13]  C. K. Prahalad,et al.  THE DOMINANT LOGIC: RETROSPECTIVE AND EXTENSION , 1995 .

[14]  D. Teece,et al.  DYNAMIC CAPABILITIES AND STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT , 1997 .

[15]  S. G. Deshmukh,et al.  Matching of technological forecasting technique to a technology , 2002 .

[16]  Alan L. Porter,et al.  Forecasting and Management of Technology , 1991 .

[17]  D. Leonard-Barton CORE CAPABILITIES AND CORE RIGIDITIES: A PARADOX IN MANAGING NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT , 1992 .

[18]  Alexander Gerybadze,et al.  Globalization of R&D: recent changes in the management of innovation in transnational corporations , 1999 .

[19]  James M. Utterback,et al.  Identification of technological threats and opportunities by firms , 1975 .

[20]  Rivhard Klavans Technology strategy and competitive intelligence , 1994 .

[21]  Eckhard Lichtenthaler,et al.  Technological change and the technology intelligence process: a case study , 2004 .

[22]  Eckhard Lichtenthaler Third generation management of technology intelligence processes , 2003 .

[23]  H. Ansoff,et al.  Managing Strategic Surprise by Response to Weak Signals , 1975 .

[24]  G. Huber Organizational Learning: The Contributing Processes and the Literatures , 1991 .

[25]  K. Eisenhardt Building theories from case study research , 1989, STUDI ORGANIZZATIVI.

[26]  F. Aguilar Scanning the business environment , 1967 .

[27]  Eckhard Lichtenthaler,et al.  Coordination of Technology Intelligence Processes: A Study in Technology Intensive Multinationals , 2004, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[28]  Rodolphe Durand Predicting a firm's forecasting ability: The roles of organizational illusion of control and organizational attention , 2003 .

[29]  Jakob Edler,et al.  Changes in the Strategic Management of Technology: Results of a Global Benchmarking Study , 2002 .

[30]  Hugo Tschirky The role of technology forecasting and assessment in technology management , 1994 .

[31]  J. Pfeffer,et al.  The External Control of Organizations. , 1978 .

[32]  R. Balachandra,et al.  Perceived usefulness of Technological Forecasting techniques , 1980 .

[33]  J. G. Wissema,et al.  Trends in technology forecasting , 1982 .

[34]  Joseph P. Martino Probabilistic technological forecasts using precursor events , 1992 .

[35]  Oscar Hauptman,et al.  The process of applied technology forecasting , 1992 .

[36]  Eckhard Lichtenthaler,et al.  Technology Intelligence Processes in Leading European and North American Multinationals , 2004 .

[37]  Arthur Gerstenfeld Technological Forecasting , 1974, IEEE Engineering Management Review.

[38]  Eckhard Lichtenthaler,et al.  Organisation der Technology Intelligence , 2000 .

[39]  H. Tsoukas The firm as a distributed knowledge system : A constructionist approach , 1996 .

[40]  Alexander Gerybadze,et al.  Technology forecasting as a process of organisational intelligence , 1994 .

[41]  Holger Ernst,et al.  Patent portfolios for strategic R & D planning , 1998 .

[42]  Klaus Brockhoff,et al.  Competitor technology intelligence in German companies , 1991 .

[43]  児玉 文雄,et al.  Analyzing Japanese high technologies : the techno-paradigm shift , 1991 .

[44]  D. Schendel,et al.  Strategic responses to technological threats , 1976 .

[45]  John D. W. Guice,et al.  Designing the future: the culture of new trends in science and technology , 1999 .