Forecasting the future.
暂无分享,去创建一个
"Forecasting is difficult: particularly about the future" This piece of wisdom is attributed to Yogi Bear. But it does not apply to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, since they do not make "forecasts" at all, only "projections". As they make clear, "projections" are dependent on the correctness of the assumptions made by the computer models and the futures scenarios from which they are made.