The Evaluation of Clinical Predictions: A Method and Initial Application

[1]  M. Siegler.  Pascal's wager and the hanging of crepe. , 1975, The New England journal of medicine.

[2]  H. Warner,et al.  A mathematical approach to medical diagnosis. Application to congenital heart disease. , 1961, JAMA.

[3]  Paul E. Meehl,et al.  Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence , 1996 .

[4]  J McCarthy,et al.  MEASURES OF THE VALUE OF INFORMATION. , 1956, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[5]  C F Starmer,et al.  A new information system for medical practice. , 1975, Archives of internal medicine.

[6]  H. Holman,et al.  Systemic lupus erythematosus: a clinical analysis. , 1975, Major problems in internal medicine.

[7]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .

[8]  F. Plum,et al.  Letter: Data banks for standardized assessments of coma. , 1976, The New England journal of medicine.

[9]  P. Meehl,et al.  Clinical versus Statistical Prediction. , 1955 .

[10]  F. Mosteller,et al.  Costs, Risks, and Benefits of Surgery , 1977 .

[11]  B Jennett,et al.  PREDICTING OUTCOME IN INDIVIDUAL PATIENTS AFTER SEVERE HEAD INJURY , 1976, The Lancet.

[12]  J. Ingelfinger,et al.  The serum digitalis concentration--does it diagnose digitalis toxicity? , 1976, The New England journal of medicine.

[13]  P. Ross.  Computers in medical diagnosis. , 1972, CRC critical reviews in radiological sciences.

[14]  R. L. Winkler.  The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions , 1967 .

[15]  F. Hecht,et al.  Letter: Social contacts and leukaemia-lymphoma: the Philadelphia chromosome rearrangement. , 1975, Lancet.

[16]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  A Note on the Attributes of Probabilistic Predictions and the Probability Score , 1965 .

[17]  G. Brier.  VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY , 1950 .