Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction using Bayesian model averaging
暂无分享,去创建一个
S. Sorooshian | Q. Duan | N. Ajami | Xiaogang Gao | Q. Duan
[1] J. M. Bates,et al. The Combination of Forecasts , 1969 .
[2] J. Dickinson. Some Statistical Results in the Combination of Forecasts , 1973 .
[3] C. Granger,et al. Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts , 1974 .
[4] J. Dickinson. Some Comments on the Combination of Forecasts , 1975 .
[5] Walter T. Sittner. WMO PROJECT ON INTERCOMPARISON OF CONCEPTUAL MODELS USED IN HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING , 1976 .
[6] P. D. Thompson,et al. How to Improve Accuracy by Combining Independent Forecasts , 1977 .
[7] S. Sorooshian,et al. Stochastic parameter estimation procedures for hydrologie rainfall‐runoff models: Correlated and heteroscedastic error cases , 1980 .
[8] A. H. Murphy,et al. A General Framework for Forecast Verification , 1987 .
[9] Keith Beven,et al. The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. , 1992 .
[10] S. Sorooshian,et al. Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall‐runoff models , 1992 .
[11] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Calibration of rainfall‐runoff models: Application of global optimization to the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting Model , 1993 .
[12] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models , 1994 .
[13] G. McLachlan,et al. The EM algorithm and extensions , 1996 .
[14] K. Mitchell,et al. Simple water balance model for estimating runoff at different spatial and temporal scales , 1996 .
[15] A. Shamseldin,et al. Methods for combining the outputs of different rainfall–runoff models , 1997 .
[16] George Kuczera,et al. Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm , 1998 .
[17] A. Shamseldin,et al. A real-time combination method for the outputs of different rainfall-runoff models , 1999 .
[18] Adrian E. Raftery,et al. Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with comments by M. Clyde, David Draper and E. I. George, and a rejoinder by the authors , 1999 .
[19] T. N. Krishnamurti,et al. Improved Weather and Seasonal Climate Forecasts from Multimodel Superensemble. , 1999, Science.
[20] Asaad Y. Shamseldin,et al. A non-linear combination of the forecasts of rainfall-runoff models by the first-order Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy system , 2001 .
[21] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Toward improved streamflow forecasts: value of semidistributed modeling , 2001 .
[22] M. Steel,et al. Benchmark Priors for Bayesian Model Averaging , 2001 .
[23] S. Richardson,et al. Variable selection and Bayesian model averaging in case‐control studies , 2001, Statistics in medicine.
[24] Tim Hesterberg,et al. Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing , 2002, Technometrics.
[25] S. Sorooshian,et al. A Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis algorithm for optimization and uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model parameters , 2002 .
[26] Quan J. Wang,et al. Quantifying parameter uncertainty in stochastic models using the Box–Cox transformation , 2002 .
[27] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Verification of National Weather Service Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for Water Supply Forecasting in the Colorado River Basin , 2003 .
[28] S. P. Neuman,et al. Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of uncertain model predictions , 2003 .
[29] Tempei Hashino,et al. Distributions-oriented verification of probability forecasts for small data samples , 2003 .
[30] A. Raftery,et al. Discussion: Performance of Bayesian Model Averaging , 2003 .
[31] Dong-Jun Seo,et al. The distributed model intercomparison project (DMIP): Motivation and experiment design , 2004 .
[32] Aaron M. Ellison,et al. Bayesian inference in ecology , 2004 .
[33] Dong-Jun Seo,et al. Towards the characterization of streamflow simulation uncertainty through multimodel ensembles , 2004 .
[34] A. Raftery,et al. Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles , 2005 .
[35] Adrian E. Raftery,et al. Bayesian model averaging: development of an improved multi-class, gene selection and classification tool for microarray data , 2005, Bioinform..
[36] Qingyun Duan,et al. NOAA'S Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting , 2005 .
[37] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Multi-Model Combination Techniques for Hydrological Forecasting: Application to Distributed Model Intercomparison Project Results , 2005 .
[38] S. Sorooshian,et al. Multimodel Combination Techniques for Analysis of Hydrological Simulations: Application to Distributed Model Intercomparison Project Results , 2006 .
[39] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Model Parameter Estimation Experiment (MOPEX): An overview of science strategy and major results from the second and third workshops , 2006 .
[40] Keith Beven,et al. A manifesto for the equifinality thesis , 2006 .
[41] W. Briggs. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences , 2007 .
[42] A. P. Dawid,et al. Bayesian Model Averaging and Model Search Strategies , 2007 .