Inter-marriage, Ethnic Mixing, and Ethnic Voting in Africa ∗

Inter-marriage is rapidly altering the ethnic landscape across Africa. Estimates from the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) show that the median country-level rate of inter-marriage is over 20% across a large sample of countries. This paper explores how the blurring of ethnic lines affects voter behavior. We focus on the electoral choices of mixed individuals who descend from parents with different ethnic backgrounds. Drawing on two large surveys from Malawi and Kenya, we find that individuals of mixed ethnic heritage are less likely to engage in ethnic voting than mono-ethnics. We explore the empirical and theoretical implications of this finding and investigate potential mechanisms.

[1]  Lauren D. Davenport Politics beyond Black and White: Biracial Identity and Attitudes in America , 2018 .

[2]  A. Amoateng,et al.  Changes in Interracial Marriages in South Africa: 1996-2011 , 2017 .

[3]  Noah L. Nathan Local Ethnic Geography, Expectations of Favoritism, and Voting in Urban Ghana , 2016 .

[4]  Karen E. Ferree,et al.  Who’s Asking? Interviewer Coethnicity Effects in African Survey Data , 2016 .

[5]  Lauren D. Davenport Beyond Black and White: Biracial Attitudes in Contemporary U.S. Politics , 2016, American Political Science Review.

[6]  Elizabeth Carlson Ethnic Voting and Accountability in Africa: A Choice Experiment in Uganda , 2015 .

[7]  K. Dionne,et al.  Presidential, parliamentary, and local government elections in Malawi, May 2014 , 2014 .

[8]  D. Kambewa,et al.  Lineage and land reforms in Malawi: Do matrilineal and patrilineal landholding systems represent a problem for land reforms in Malawi? , 2014 .

[9]  Nahomi Ichino,et al.  Crossing the Line: Local Ethnic Geography and Voting in Ghana , 2013, American Political Science Review.

[10]  John D. Huber Measuring Ethnic Voting: Do Proportional Electoral Laws Politicize Ethnicity? , 2012 .

[11]  Jeffrey Conroy-Krutz Information and Ethnic Politics in Africa , 2012, British Journal of Political Science.

[12]  J. Ishiyama Explaining ethnic bloc voting in Africa , 2012 .

[13]  Denise Walsh Framing the Race in South Africa: The Political Origins of Racial-Census Electionsby Karen E. Ferree , 2012 .

[14]  Karen E. Ferree,et al.  Ties that bind? The rise and decline of ethno-regional partisanship in Malawi, 1994–2009 , 2010 .

[15]  C. Gibson,et al.  The presidential and parliamentary elections in Kenya, December 2007 , 2009 .

[16]  B. Berman,et al.  Patrons, Clients, and Constitutions: Ethnic Politics and Political Reform in Kenya , 2009 .

[17]  S. Gellar Institutions and Ethnic Politics in Africa , 2006, Perspectives on Politics.

[18]  Kenneth F. Scheve,et al.  Social Identity, Political Speech, and Electoral Competition , 2006 .

[19]  S. Mitra Why Ethnic Parties Succeed: Patronage and Ethnic Head Counts in India , 2005, Perspectives on Politics.

[20]  H. Tajfel,et al.  The Social Identity Theory of Intergroup Behavior. , 2004 .

[21]  Léonard Wantchekon,et al.  Clientelism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Benin , 2003 .

[22]  James D. Fearon,et al.  Ethnic and Cultural Diversity by Country* , 2003 .

[23]  Michael C. Dawson Behind the Mule: Race and Class in African-American Politics , 1995 .

[24]  D. Horowitz,et al.  A Democratic South Africa? Constitutional Engineering in a Divided Society , 1992, Canadian Journal of Political Science.

[25]  R. Provencher Ethnic Groups in Conflict , 1988, The Journal of Asian Studies.

[26]  ‘Canadian Journal of African Studies’ , 1967, Africa.

[27]  I. Kibuthu Marriage across cultures and its implications to the church: A survey of Christ is the answer Ministries, Kenya , 2016 .

[28]  Shannon M. Jackson,et al.  Then I Was Black: South African Political Identities in Transition , 2003 .

[29]  Claudine Gay,et al.  Spirals of Trust? The Effect of Descriptive Representation on the Relationship between Citizens and Their Government , 2002 .