Probabilistic Approach for Design Optimization of Prestressed Girder Bridges Using Multi-Purpose Computer-Aided Model

ii Abstract Prestressed girder bridges are a very common type of bridges constructed all over the world. The girder bridges are ideal as short to medium spans (15 m to 60 m) structures, due to their moderate self-weight, structural efficiency, ease of fabrication, fast construction, low initial cost, long life expectancy, low maintenance, simple deck removal, and replacement process. Thus, the vast applicability of prestressed girder bridges provides the motivation to develop optimization methodologies, techniques, and models to optimize the design of these widely-used types of bridges, in order to achieve cost-effective design solutions. Most real-world structural engineering problems involve several elements of uncertainty (e.g. uncertainty in loading conditions, in material characteristics, in analysis/simulation model accuracy, in geometric properties, in manufacturing precision, etc). Such uncertainties need to be taken into consideration in the design process in order to achieve uniform levels of safety and consistent reliability in the structural systems. Consideration of uncertainties and variation of design parameters is made through probabilistic calibration of the design codes and specifications. For all current bridge design codes (e.g. AASHTO LRFD, CHBDC, or European code) no calibration is yet made to the Serviceability Limit State or Fatigue Limit State. Eventually, to date only Strength I limit state has been formally calibrated with reliability basis. Optimum designs developed without consideration of uncertainty associated with the design parameters can lead to non-robust designs, ones for which even slight changes in design variables and uncertain parameters can result in substantial performance degradation and localized damages. The accumulated damage may result in serviceability limitations or even collapse, although the structural design meets all code requirements for ultimate flexural and shear capacity. In order to search for the best optimization solution between cost reduction and satisfactory safety levels, probabilistic approaches of design optimization were applied to control the structural uncertainties throughout the design process, which cannot be achieved by deterministic optimization. To perform probabilistic design optimization, the basic design parameters were treated as random variables. For each random variable, the statistical distribution type was properly defined and the statistical parameters were accurately derived. After characterizing the random variables, in the current research, all

[1]  Andrzej S. Nowak,et al.  Calibration of Design Code for Buildings (ACI 318): Part 1—Statistical Models for Resistance , 2003 .

[2]  Raquib Ahsan,et al.  Application of evolutionary operation to the minimum cost design of continuous prestressed concrete bridge structure , 2013 .

[3]  Jeremy E. Oakley,et al.  Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities , 2006 .

[4]  Amin Hammad,et al.  Discrete event simulation and 4 D modelling for elevated highway reconstruction projects , 2012 .

[5]  F. Tang,et al.  A polychromatic sets approach to the conceptual design of machine tools , 2005 .

[6]  Niels C. Lind,et al.  Practical Approach to Code Calibration , 1975 .

[7]  Chung-Wei Feng,et al.  Integrating fmGA and CYCLONE to optimize the schedule of dispatching RMC trucks , 2006 .

[8]  Taijiro Nonaka,et al.  Longitudinal elastic waves in columns due to earthquake motion , 1996 .

[9]  Sondipon Adhikari Asymptotic distribution method for structural reliability analysis in high dimensions , 2005, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

[10]  Jeffrey A. Laman,et al.  Fatigue-load models for girder bridges , 1996 .

[11]  Xudong Chen,et al.  Tensile strength of concrete under static and intermediate strain rates: Correlated results from different testing methods , 2012 .

[12]  Arne Bang Huseby,et al.  System reliability evaluation using conditional Monte Carlo methods , 2004 .

[13]  Michel Ghosn,et al.  Modified subset simulation method for reliability analysis of structural systems , 2011 .

[14]  D E Allen PROBABILITY STUDY OF REINFORCED CONCRETE IN BENDING , 1970 .

[15]  M. Rosenblatt Remarks on a Multivariate Transformation , 1952 .

[16]  Mahdi Bitarafan,et al.  Selecting the Best Design Scenario of the Smart Structure of Bridges for Probably Future Earthquakes , 2013 .

[17]  Bruce Ellingwood RELIABILITY BASIS OF LOAD AND RESISTANCE FACTORS FOR REINFORCED CONCRETE DESIGN , 1978 .

[18]  A. Rakoczy,et al.  Resistance Model of Lightweight Concrete Members , 2013 .

[19]  Daniel P. Thunnissen,et al.  Uncertainty Classification for the Design and Development of Complex Systems , 2003 .

[20]  S. Kodiyalam,et al.  Structural optimization using probabilistic constraints , 1992 .

[21]  Andrzej S. Nowak,et al.  Reliability-Based Calibration of Design Code for Concrete Structures (ACI 318) , 2012 .

[22]  Niels C. Lind,et al.  System reliability models for bridge structures , 1987 .

[23]  Timothy K. Hasselman,et al.  Reliability based structural design optimization for practical applications , 1997 .

[24]  Lambros S. Katafygiotis,et al.  Bayesian post-processor and other enhancements of Subset Simulation for estimating failure probabilities in high dimensions , 2011 .

[25]  O. Ditlevsen Narrow Reliability Bounds for Structural Systems , 1979 .

[26]  D. J. L. Kennedy,et al.  CANADIAN HIGHWAY BRIDGE EVALUATION: DERIVATION OF CLAUSE 12 OF CAN/CSA-S6-88 , 1992 .

[27]  Cj Burgoyne,et al.  APPLICATION OF EXPERT SYSTEMS TO PRESTRESSED CONCRETE BRIDGE DESIGN , 1987 .

[28]  Yaohua Deng,et al.  Efficient Prestressed Concrete-Steel Composite Girder for Medium-Span Bridges , 2013 .

[29]  Ignacio Carol,et al.  Viscoplastic approach for rate-dependent failure analysis of concrete joints and interfaces , 2008 .

[30]  P. E. James T. P. Yao,et al.  Probability, Reliability and Statistical Methods in Engineering Design , 2001 .

[31]  Roger G. Schroeder,et al.  Six Sigma: Definition and underlying theory , 2008 .

[32]  S. D. Lash,et al.  Tensile Strength of Concrete , 1963 .

[33]  Daniel W. Halpin Financial and Cost Concepts for Construction Management , 1985 .

[34]  Fred W. Glover,et al.  Simulation optimization: a review, new developments, and applications , 2005, Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, 2005..

[35]  Oddvar O. Bendiksen,et al.  Structures, Structural Dynamics and Materials Conference , 1998 .

[36]  Min-Yuan Cheng,et al.  Estimate at Completion for construction projects using Evolutionary Support Vector Machine Inference Model , 2010 .

[37]  Eric P. Steinberg Structural Reliability of Prestressed UHPC Flexure Models for Bridge Girders , 2010 .

[38]  Pedro M. Mateo,et al.  Optimization with simulation and multiobjective analysis in industrial decision-making: A case study , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[39]  C. J. Moore,et al.  An expert system for the conceptual design of bridges , 1991 .

[40]  M. Laguna Optimization of Complex Systems with OptQuest , 1997 .

[41]  Richard E. Westney,et al.  The Engineer's Cost Handbook: Tools for Managing Project Costs , 1997 .

[42]  Andrzej S. Nowak,et al.  SYSTEM RELIABILITY MODELS FOR BRIDGES , 1990 .

[43]  R. Iman,et al.  A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables , 1982 .

[44]  A. M. Hasofer,et al.  Exact and Invariant Second-Moment Code Format , 1974 .

[45]  Bruce R. Ellingwood,et al.  Analysis of Live Loads in Office Buildings , 1977 .

[46]  Min-Yuan Cheng,et al.  Evolutionary fuzzy decision model for construction management using support vector machine , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[47]  Achintya Haldar,et al.  Reliability Assessment Using Stochastic Finite Element Analysis , 2000 .

[48]  F. Michael Bartlett,et al.  Assessment of precast stringer highway bridges using mean load method , 2006 .

[49]  Robert I. Carr Cost-Estimating Principles , 1989 .

[50]  K. Breitung Asymptotic crossing rates for stationary Gaussian vector processes , 1988 .

[51]  Julián Alcalá,et al.  Design of prestressed concrete precast road bridges with hybrid simulated annealing , 2013 .

[52]  Sung-Pil Chang,et al.  Development of ANN-based preliminary structural design systems for cable-stayed bridges , 2002 .

[53]  Ouk Sub Lee,et al.  The reliability estimation of pipeline using FORM, SORM and Monte Carlo Simulation with FAD , 2006 .

[54]  Bhushan Lal Karihaloo,et al.  APPLICATION OF DCOC TO OPTIMUM PRESTRESSED CONCRETE BEAM DESIGN , 1995 .

[55]  Max Henrion,et al.  Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , 1990 .

[56]  Morteza Madhkhan,et al.  LIFE-CYCLE COST OPTIMIZATION OF PRESTRESSED SIMPLE-SPAN CONCRETE BRIDGES WITH SIMPLE AND SPLICED GIRDERS , 2013 .

[57]  A. Kiureghian,et al.  Second-Order Reliability Approximations , 1987 .

[58]  Abhijit Gosavi,et al.  Simulation-Based Optimization: Parametric Optimization Techniques and Reinforcement Learning , 2003 .

[59]  Leonhard E. Bernold,et al.  Resource-Oriented Modeling and Simulation in Construction , 1993 .

[60]  James M. Neil Construction Cost Estimating for Project Control , 1981 .

[61]  Andreas Vlahinos,et al.  Designing for Six-Sigma Quality with Robust Optimization Using CAE , 2002 .

[62]  Dian-Qing Li,et al.  Bivariate distribution models using copulas for reliability analysis , 2013 .

[63]  Baidurya Bhattacharya,et al.  Reliability of redundant ductile structures with uncertain system failure criteria , 2009 .

[64]  Robert E. Melchers,et al.  Structural Reliability: Analysis and Prediction , 1987 .

[65]  David J. Pratt Fundamentals of Construction Estimating , 1995 .

[66]  Edoardo Patelli,et al.  On multinormal integrals by Importance Sampling for parallel system reliability , 2011 .

[67]  Kyung K. Choi,et al.  A mixed design approach for probabilistic structural durability , 1997 .

[68]  Martin Fischer,et al.  Benefits and lessons learned of implementing building virtual design and construction (VDC) technologies for coordination of mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems on a large healthcare project , 2008, J. Inf. Technol. Constr..

[69]  Judith Rousseau,et al.  Combining expert opinions in prior elicitation , 2010 .

[70]  A. S. Nowak,et al.  Reliability-based calibration of the design code for concrete structures , 2002 .

[71]  E. Ertugrul Karsak,et al.  Fuzzy multiple objective decision making approach to prioritize design requirements in quality function deployment , 2004 .

[72]  Mahesh D. Pandey,et al.  Analysis of approximations for multinormal integration in system reliability computation , 2006 .

[73]  Enrique Alba,et al.  AbYSS: Adapting Scatter Search to Multiobjective Optimization , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation.

[74]  Peter E.D. Love,et al.  Selecting a suitable procurement method for a building project , 1998 .

[75]  Andrzej S. Nowak,et al.  Reliability analysis of prestressed concrete bridge girders: comparison of Eurocode, Spanish Norma IAP and AASHTO LRFD , 2001 .

[76]  Bruce Ellingwood,et al.  Development of a probability based load criterion for American National Standard A58 , 1980 .

[77]  D. Vose Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide , 2000 .