An interval-based MADM approach to the identification of candidate alternatives in strategic resource planning

Multi-attribute decision making (MADM) methods have been widely used in the strategic planning of electric utilities for selecting the best resource strategy with regard to the chosen attributes. In many MADM problems, however, the information available to the decision-maker (DM) is often imprecise due to inaccurate attribute measurements and inconsistent priority judgments. This paper presents an interval-based MADM approach in support of the decision making process with imprecise information. The proposed MADM methodology is based on the model of lineal additive utility function but extends the problem formulation with the measure of composite utility variance. Its main contribution is to help the DM gain insight into how the imprecise data may affect the choice toward the best solution and how a set of acceptable alternatives may be identified with certain confidence. Sample case studies are provided to illustrate the concepts introduced in this paper.

[1]  R. L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[2]  I. F. A. S. Member,et al.  Multiple Attribute Decision Analysis with Imprecise Information , 1989 .

[3]  J. H. Malinowski,et al.  Evaluation of Transmission Network Capacity Use for Wheeling Transactions , 1989, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[4]  Narayan S. Rau,et al.  The variance of production cost , 1990 .

[5]  C. Rajagopalan,et al.  Cost of transmission transactions: an introduction , 1991 .

[6]  Hyde M. Merrill,et al.  Risk and uncertainty in power system planning , 1991 .

[7]  Saifur Rahman,et al.  A statistical representation of imprecision in expert judgments , 1991, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[8]  D. Sutanto,et al.  Evaluation of variances in production cost of electric power systems , 1991 .

[9]  F. B. Vernadat,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs , 1994 .

[10]  B. Hobbs,et al.  Multicriteria methods for resource planning: an experimental comparison , 1994 .

[11]  R. Kovacs,et al.  A load flow based method for calculating embedded, incremental and marginal cost of transmission capacity , 1994 .

[12]  H. Happ Cost of wheeling methodologies , 1994 .

[13]  Amulfo de Castro A technique for multi-attribute utility expansion planning under uncertainty :with focus on incorporating environmental factors into the planning process , 1995 .

[14]  H. Rudnick,et al.  Marginal pricing and supplement cost allocation in transmission open access , 1995 .

[15]  Mainak Mazumdar,et al.  Stochastic models for power generation system production costs , 1996 .

[16]  Janusz Bialek,et al.  Tracing the flow of electricity , 1996 .

[17]  L. Willis,et al.  Computing the cost of unbundled services [power transmission] , 1996 .

[18]  J. Lima Allocation of transmission fixed charges: an overview , 1996 .

[19]  M. Ilić,et al.  Unbundling of transmission and ancillary services. II. Cost-based pricing framework , 1997 .

[20]  A. David,et al.  Pricing transmission services in the context of industry deregulation , 1997 .

[21]  J. Bialek Elimination of merchandise surplus due to spot pricing of electricity , 1997 .

[22]  M. Ilić,et al.  Toward regional transmission provision and its pricing in New England , 1997 .

[23]  Shangyou Hao,et al.  Reactive power pricing and management , 1997 .

[24]  Janusz Bialek,et al.  Topological generation and load distribution factors for supplement charge allocation in transmission open access , 1997 .

[25]  Goran Strbac,et al.  Contributions of individual generators to loads and flows , 1997 .

[26]  Jong-Bae Park,et al.  An analytical approach for transaction costs allocation in transmission system , 1998 .

[27]  E. L. Silva,et al.  Transmission access pricing to wheeling transactions: a reliability based approach , 1998 .

[28]  Janusz Bialek,et al.  Allocation of transmission supplementary charge to real and reactive loads , 1998 .

[29]  Saifur Rahman,et al.  A decision support technique for the design of hybrid solar-wind power systems , 1998 .

[30]  A. Papalexopoulos,et al.  Transmission congestion management in competitive electricity markets , 1998 .

[31]  Goran Strbac,et al.  Allocating transmission system usage on the basis of traceable contributions of generators and loads to flows , 1998 .

[32]  Mesut Baran,et al.  A transaction assessment method for allocation of transmission services , 1999 .

[33]  Goran Strbac,et al.  Tracing active and reactive power between generators and loads using real and imaginary currents , 1999 .

[34]  A. Papalexopoulos,et al.  Competitive procurement of ancillary services by an independent system operator , 1999 .