Planning for capacity expansion: Stochastic process and game-theoretic approaches

Abstract Under- and over-capacity design is a major consideration in public infrastructure systems. Traditional engineering economies of scale leading to overdesign errors must be counterbalanced by greater attention to high cost financing. Increased uncertainty in demand forecasting and financial markets make decision tools which incorporate measures of information imperfection more appropriate. These tools, however, do not lead to consistent identification of optimal design levels.

[1]  S. McLafferty,et al.  Urban Structure and Geographical Access to Public Services , 1982 .

[2]  John Freidenfelds,et al.  Capacity Expansion when Demand Is a Birth-Death Random Process , 1980, Oper. Res..

[3]  Anthony B. Atkinson,et al.  Lectures on public economics , 1988 .

[4]  Istvan Bogardi,et al.  Application of game theory in water management , 1976 .

[5]  Norman T. J. Bailey The Elements of Stochastic Processes with Applications to the Natural Sciences , 1964 .

[6]  John Freidenfelds,et al.  Capacity expansion: Analysis of simple models with applications , 1981 .

[7]  Michael O'Sullivan,et al.  Stochastic optimization of water supply expansion , 1979 .

[8]  A. S. Manne CAPACITY EXPANSION AND PROBABILISTIC GROWTH , 1961 .

[9]  Andrew Schmitz,et al.  THE CONCEPT OF ECONOMIC SURPLUS AND ITS USE IN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS , 1971 .

[10]  Robert D. Willig,et al.  Consumer's Surplus Without Apology , 1976 .

[11]  Kenneth J. Arrow Criteria for social investment , 1965 .

[12]  M. Bogle,et al.  Stochastic optimization of a water supply system , 1979 .

[13]  Michael Dear,et al.  Planning for Mental Health Care: A Reconsideration of Public Facility Location Theory , 1978 .

[14]  Paul Mac Berthouex,et al.  Design Capacities to Accommodate Forecast Uncertainties , 1970 .

[15]  J. Mcdonald The use of weighted discount rates in cost-benefit analysis: A further analysis , 1981 .

[16]  Dan Rosbjerg,et al.  Optimal Scheduling of Water Supply Projects , 1977 .

[17]  E. Kula,et al.  Future Generations and Discounting Rules in Public Sector Investment Appraisal , 1981 .

[18]  H. D. Miller,et al.  The Theory Of Stochastic Processes , 1977, The Mathematical Gazette.

[19]  Michael F. Sheehan,et al.  Game theory analyses applied to water resource problems , 1981 .

[20]  Peter M. Meier Game Theory Approach to Design Under Uncertainty , 1977 .

[21]  E. Mishan The plain truth about consumer surplus , 1977 .

[22]  Paul R. Kleindorfer,et al.  Public Utility Economics , 1981 .

[23]  William W. Sharkey,et al.  Suggestions for a Game-Theoretic Approach to Public Utility Pricing and Cost Allocation , 1982 .

[24]  J. E. Seley,et al.  A Comparison of Technical and Ethnographic Approaches in the Evaluation and Planning of Professional Fire Services: Tinkering With Success , 1979 .

[25]  S. Hanke,et al.  On the Discount Rate Controversy , 1980 .

[26]  S. Yakowitz Dynamic programming applications in water resources , 1982 .

[27]  John C. Hause The Theory of Welfare Cost Measurement , 1975, Journal of Political Economy.

[28]  H. Chenery Overcapacity and the Acceleration Principle , 1952 .

[29]  William Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications , 1951 .