ON LEARNING TO PREDICT EVENTS

Bjorkman, M. On learning to predict events. Scand. J. Psychol., 1962, 3, 233–240.—A rather large group of ‘real life situations’ requires a subject to predict events which are causally related to variables of the situation. Some operational characteristics of such situations are described. A primary question concerns the learning of the connection between situation and event (S E learning).—In an illustrative experiment frequency of ‘reinforcement by observation’ is varied. It is found that this factor can vary considerably without affecting rate of learning. As a preliminary conclusion it is suggested that reinforcement by observation as a differentiating factor is dependent on other factors, e.g. the dispersion of states of the situation.