Method of Fuzzy Modeling in Reliability Prediction Algorithm

To introduce a kind of method of fuzzy modeling based on the accuracy of data sources and accessibility of the interface which can predict the future system reliability. Data sources are from Reliability management system, distribution network planning detail and projects of overhaul, capital construction, technical transformation, business expansion. There is little reports of the reliability evaluation algorithm by now. This paper is based on the correlation analysis method of load forecasting to forecast the reliability index.

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