论文信息 - The Unrelenting Exchange Paradox

The Unrelenting Exchange Paradox

An elusive probability paradox is analysed. The fallacy is traced back to improper use of a symbol that denotes at the same time a random variable and two different values that it may assume.

R. Falk

[1] R. Nickerson,et al. The exchange paradox: Probabilistic and cognitive analysis of a psychological conundrum , 2006 .

[2] N. Blachman,et al. Elusive Optimality in the Box Problem , 2001 .

[3] Steven J. Brams,et al. The Box Problem: To Switch or Not to Switch , 1995 .

[4] L. Marinoff. Three pseudo-paradoxes in ‘quantum’ decision theory: Apparent effects of observation on probability and utility , 1993 .

[5] F. Bruss. On the Fallacy of the Two-Envelopes-Problem , 1996 .

[6] Piers Rawling,et al. A note on the two envelopes problem , 1994 .