The Short and Long Term Impact of Europe’s Natural Gas Market on Electricity Markets until 2050

The interdependence of electricity and natural gas is becoming a major energy policy and regulatory issue in all jurisdictions around the world. The increased role of gas fired plants in renewable-based electricity markets and the dependence on natural gas imports make this issue particular important for the European energy market. In this paper we provide a comprehensive combined analysis of electricity and natural gas infrastructure with an applied focus: We analyze three different scenarios of the long-term European decarbonization pathways, and analyze the interrelation between electricity and natural gas markets on investments in the long run and spatial aspects in the short run.

[1]  M. Shahidehpour,et al.  Security-Constrained Unit Commitment With Natural Gas Transmission Constraints , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[2]  J. Munoz,et al.  Natural gas network modeling for power systems reliability studies , 2003, 2003 IEEE Bologna Power Tech Conference Proceedings,.

[3]  Franz Hubert,et al.  Pipeline Power: A Case Study of Strategic Network Investments , 2014 .

[4]  Maziar Yazdani Damavandi,et al.  New approach to gas network modeling in unit commitment , 2011 .

[5]  Franziska Holz,et al.  The World Gas Model: A Multi-Period Mixed Complementarity Model for the Global Natural Gas Market , 2009 .

[6]  Clodomiro Unsihuay-Vila,et al.  A Model to Long-Term, Multiarea, Multistage, and Integrated Expansion Planning of Electricity and Natural Gas Systems , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[7]  Steven A. Gabriel,et al.  A Complementarity Model for the European Natural Gas Market , 2007 .

[8]  Jan Abrell,et al.  Combining Energy Networks , 2010 .

[9]  M. Lienert,et al.  The importance of market interdependencies in modeling energy systems – The case of the European electricity generation market , 2012 .

[10]  E. Jochem,et al.  Introduction to Energy Systems Modelling , 2012 .

[11]  Stefan Lochner,et al.  European natural gas infrastructure: The impact of market developments on gas flows and physical market integration , 2013 .

[12]  Goran Andersson,et al.  Operational and Structural Optimization of Multi-Carrier Energy Systems ¤ , 2006 .

[13]  Berna Dengiz,et al.  An integrated simulation model for analysing electricity and gas systems , 2014 .

[15]  Jan Abrell,et al.  Cross-Country Electricity Trade, Renewable Energy and European Transmission Infrastructure Policy , 2016 .

[16]  J. Barquin,et al.  Strategic Management of Multi-Year Natural Gas Contracts in Electricity Markets , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[17]  John P. Weyant,et al.  INTRODUCTION TO THE EMF28 STUDY ON SCENARIOS FOR TRANSFORMING THE EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM , 2013 .

[18]  O. Ano,et al.  Integrated natural gas and electricity market: A survey of the state of the art in operation planning and market issues , 2008, 2008 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition: Latin America.

[19]  Steven A. Gabriel,et al.  The World Gas Model , 2010 .

[20]  Stephan Spiecker,et al.  Modeling Market Power by Natural Gas Producers and Its Impact on the Power System , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[21]  Jan Abrell,et al.  Investments in a Combined Energy Network Model: Substitution between Natural Gas and Electricity? , 2014 .

[22]  Andreas Ehrenmann,et al.  Space and Time: Wind in an Investment Planning Model , 2006 .

[23]  P. M. Sotkiewicz Value of conventional fossil generation in PJM considering renewable portfolio standards: A look into the future , 2012, 2012 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.

[24]  A.C.Z. de Souza,et al.  Modeling the Integrated Natural Gas and Electricity Optimal Power Flow , 2007, 2007 IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting.

[25]  Christian von Hirschhausen,et al.  A Large-Scale Spatial Optimization Model of the European Electricity Market , 2012 .

[26]  Casimir Lorenz,et al.  European Electricity Grid Infrastructure Expansion in a 2050 Context , 2016 .

[27]  Svetlana Ikonnikova,et al.  Investment Options and Bargaining Power: The Eurasian Supply Chain for Natural Gas , 2011 .

[28]  Philipp M. Richter,et al.  All Quiet on the Eastern Front? Disruption Scenarios of Russian Natural Gas Supply to Europe , 2014 .

[29]  Dominik Möst,et al.  Prospects of gas supply until 2020 in Europe and its relevance for the power sector in the context of emission trading , 2009 .

[30]  Stefan Lochner,et al.  Civil unrest in North Africa—Risks for natural gas supply? , 2012 .

[31]  Jianzhong Wu,et al.  Combined gas and electricity network expansion planning , 2014 .