Equity in international greenhouse gases abatement scenarios: A multicriteria approach

Abstract The climate change problem involves long-term global efforts through sustainable development. The international burden sharing of greenhouse gases (GHG) abatement constitutes a controversial debate. Equity is an important issue to be considered in the mitigation policies to insure the participation of as many developing countries as possible. The main purpose of this research is to allocate equitable international GHG emission entitlements using several criteria. There are many equity definitions and some are conflicting. A dynamical multicriterion method is proposed to compare various alternatives and to find a compromise solution. If the decision-making process can take into account interests and preoccupations of every country, significant progress could be made to achieve a world consensus. Several burden sharing schemes are proposed. Then, modeling abatement scenarios using the TIMES world energy model will allow us to determine the cost-effectiveness opportunities.

[1]  Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al.  Global energy : perspectives , 1998 .

[2]  Irving M. Mintzer,et al.  Confronting climate change : risks, implications and responses , 1992 .

[3]  Carlo Carraro,et al.  Efficiency and equity of climate change policy , 2000 .

[4]  Jean Pierre Brans,et al.  HOW TO SELECT AND HOW TO RANK PROJECTS: THE PROMETHEE METHOD , 1986 .

[5]  Amit Kanudia,et al.  The Kyoto Protocol, Inter-Provincial Cooperation, and Energy Trading: A Systems Analysis with integrated MARKAL Models , 1998 .

[6]  Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al.  Greenhouse gas emission mitigation scenarios and implications , 2001 .

[7]  Mark A. Ridgley,et al.  Fair sharing of greenhouse gas burdens , 1996 .

[8]  Michel G.J. den Elzen,et al.  Options for differentiation of future commitments in climate policy: how to realise timely participation to meet stringent climate goals? , 2001 .

[9]  Tom Kram.  THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS PROGRAMME: HISTORY, THE ETSAP KYOTO STATEMENT AND POST-KYOTO ANALYSIS Presented at OECD Workshop “Climate Change and Economic Modelling: Background Analysis for the Kyoto Protocol” Paris, 17-18 September 1998 , 1998 .

[10]  Michiel Schaeffer,et al.  The Brazilian Proposal and other Options for International Burden Sharing: an evaluation of methodological and policy aspects using the FAIR model , 1999 .

[11]  Bertrand Mareschal.  Aide à la décision multicritère: développements théoriques et appplications , 1989 .

[12]  Jean Pierre Brans,et al.  A PREFERENCE RANKING ORGANIZATION METHOD , 1985 .

[13]  A. Grubler.  International burden sharing in greenhouse gas reduction , 1992 .

[14]  Sujata Gupta,et al.  An effective allocation criterion for CO2 emissions , 1999 .

[15]  S. Rayner,et al.  Equity Issues and Integrated Assessment , 2019, Fair Weather?.

[16]  B. Mareschal,et al.  Aide à la décision milticritère: développements récents des méthodes Prométhée , 1987 .

[17]  J. Linnerooth‐Bayer.  Climate Change and Multiple Views of Fairness , 2019, Fair Weather?.

[18]  R. Ramanathan.  A multicriteria methodology for global negotiations on climate change , 1998, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C.

[19]  Amit Kanudia,et al.  Robust responses to climate change via stochastic MARKAL: The case of Québec , 1996, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[20]  Denis Lavigne,et al.  GHG Abatement in Central Canada with Interprovincial Cooperation , 1997 .

[21]  Knut H. Alfsen,et al.  Possible criteria for differentiated commitments: Fair or feasible? , 1997 .

[22]  M. Trommetter,et al.  Au-delà de Kyoto: enjeux d'équité et d'efficacité dans la négociation sur le changement climatique , 2000 .

[23]  Henry D. Jacoby,et al.  Annex I differentiation proposals : implications for welfare, equity and policy , 1997 .

[24]  Gro Harlem Brundtland,et al.  Notre avenir à tous , 1988 .

[25]  Richard Loulou,et al.  Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme , 2005 .

[26]  Unfccc.  Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change , 1997 .

[27]  Amit Kanudia,et al.  Advanced bottom-up modelling for national and regional energy planning in response to climate change , 1997 .

[28]  O. Godal,et al.  A survey of differentiation methods for national greenhouse gas reduction targets , 1999 .

[29]  Bernard Roy,et al.  Aide multicritère à la décision : méthodes et cas , 1993 .

[30]  James K. Sebenius,et al.  Sharing the Burden , 1992 .

[31]  Ferenc L. Toth,et al.  Fair Weather?: Equity Concerns in Climate Change , 1999 .

[32]  H. Pastijn,et al.  Multicriteria analysis of the burden sharing in the European Community , 1992 .

[33]  A Different Perspective for Global Climate Policy: Combining Burden Sharing and Climate Protection , 1999 .

[34]  P. Vincke,et al.  Note-A Preference Ranking Organisation Method: The PROMETHEE Method for Multiple Criteria Decision-Making , 1985 .

[35]  Lasse Ringius,et al.  Can multi-criteria rules fairly distribute climate burdens?: OECD results from three burden sharing rules , 1998 .

[36]  Sebastian Oberthür,et al.  The Kyoto Protocol , 1999 .