Time Series Modeling and Predicting for +LJKZD\7UDQVSRUW)UHLJKW

This paper builds a ARMA Model based on Highway Transport Freight from 1996 to 2007 in China. Time Series of each year was decomposed to trend item and random item, then recognize, distill, do linear superposition to trend item and random item .The ARMA model can be used to forecast the trend of Highway Transport Freight with high predictive precision in the short term. Keywords-Highway Transport Freight; Time series