Spatiotemporal Gaussian Process Kalman Filter for Mobile Traffic Prediction

Mobile traffic prediction opens a promising avenue to demand-aware large-scale resource allocation with a significant improvement in the spectral efficiency. Various long-term prediction methods have been proposed in the literature. However, when considering the stringent requirement of the real-time and efficient radio resource allocation for future wireless communications, developing short-term prediction methods with high prediction accuracy is more desirable. In this paper, we exploit spatiotemporal correlations among the mobile traffic data and propose a novel machine learning-based short-term prediction method, referred to as spatiotemporal Gaussian Process Kalman filter (ST-GPKL) method, which includes two phases: the model selection and inference. The function of the model selection is to fine-tune the hyperparameters of the designed kernel function, while that of the inference incorporates the Kalman filter to predict the future mobile data traffic. Compared with the conventional methods, the proposed one can significantly improve the prediction accuracy, resulting in much higher efficiency in large-scale resource allocation.