Assessment of models for pedestrian dynamics with functional principal component analysis

Many agent based simulation approaches have been proposed for pedestrian flow. As such models are applied e.g. in evacuation studies, the quality and reliability of such models is of vital interest. Pedestrian trajectories are functional data and thus functional principal component analysis is a natural tool to assess the quality of pedestrian flow models beyond average properties. In this article we conduct functional Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for the trajectories of pedestrians passing through a bottleneck. In this way it is possible to assess the quality of the models not only on basis of average values but also by considering its fluctuations. We benchmark two agent based models of pedestrian flow against the experimental data using PCA average and stochastic features. Functional PCA proves to be an efficient tool to detect deviation between simulation and experiment and to assess quality of pedestrian models.

[1]  Katsuhiro Nishinari,et al.  Modelling of self-driven particles: Foraging ants and pedestrians , 2006 .

[2]  C. Dorso,et al.  Morphological and dynamical aspects of the room evacuation process , 2007 .

[3]  B. Silverman,et al.  Functional Data Analysis , 1997 .

[4]  A. Schadschneider,et al.  Enhanced Empirical Data for the Fundamental Diagram and the Flow Through Bottlenecks , 2008, 0810.1945.

[5]  S. Dai,et al.  Centrifugal force model for pedestrian dynamics. , 2005, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[6]  Jun Zhang,et al.  Transitions in pedestrian fundamental diagrams of straight corridors and T-junctions , 2011, 1102.4766.

[7]  A. Seyfried,et al.  Methods for measuring pedestrian density, flow, speed and direction with minimal scatter , 2009, 0911.2165.

[8]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Specification of the Social Force Pedestrian Model by Evolutionary Adjustment to Video Tracking Data , 2007, Adv. Complex Syst..

[9]  Ioannis Karamouzas,et al.  Universal power law governing pedestrian interactions. , 2014, Physical review letters.

[10]  A. Seyfried,et al.  Basics of Modelling the Pedestrian Flow , 2005, physics/0506189.

[11]  Majid Sarvi,et al.  Animal dynamics based approach for modeling pedestrian crowd egress under panic conditions , 2011 .

[12]  Mohcine Chraibi,et al.  Jamming transitions in force-based models for pedestrian dynamics. , 2015, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[13]  Gerta Köster,et al.  Avoiding numerical pitfalls in social force models. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[14]  Enrico Ronchi,et al.  The Process of Verification and Validation of Building Fire Evacuation Models , 2013 .

[15]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Collective phenomena and states in traffic and self-driven many-particle systems , 2004 .

[16]  Taras I. Lakoba,et al.  Modifications of the Helbing-Molnár-Farkas-Vicsek Social Force Model for Pedestrian Evolution , 2005, Simul..

[17]  Jun Zhang,et al.  Validation of FDS+Evac for pedestrian simulations in wide bottlenecks , 2014, 17th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC).

[18]  Serge P. Hoogendoorn,et al.  Microscopic Parameter Identification of Pedestrian Models and Implications for Pedestrian Flow Modeling , 2006 .

[19]  Armin Seyfried,et al.  Analyzing Stop-and-Go Waves by Experiment and Modeling , 2011 .

[20]  Mohcine Chraibi,et al.  Validated force-based modeling of pedestrian dynamics , 2012 .

[21]  Brian Caffo,et al.  Fast, Exact Bootstrap Principal Component Analysis for p > 1 Million , 2014, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[22]  P. Diaconis,et al.  Computer-Intensive Methods in Statistics , 1983 .

[23]  Helbing,et al.  Social force model for pedestrian dynamics. , 1995, Physical review. E, Statistical physics, plasmas, fluids, and related interdisciplinary topics.

[24]  Andreas Schadschneider,et al.  Empirical Results for Pedestrian Dynamics at Bottlenecks , 2009, PPAM.

[25]  Mohcine Chraibi,et al.  Generalized centrifugal-force model for pedestrian dynamics. , 2010, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[26]  Andreas Schadschneider,et al.  Fundamental Diagram and Validation of Crowd Models , 2008, ACRI.

[27]  Jun Zhang,et al.  k-Nearest-Neighbor interaction induced self-organized pedestrian counter flow , 2010 .

[28]  Debashish Chowdhury,et al.  Stochastic Transport in Complex Systems: From Molecules to Vehicles , 2010 .

[29]  L. A. Pipes An Operational Analysis of Traffic Dynamics , 1953 .

[30]  Heinz Bauer,et al.  Probability Theory , 2021, Foundations of Constructive Probability Theory.